Utah State Aggies vs Utah Utes prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Over 52.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2901 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Utah Utes 88% and Utah State Aggies 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Utah Utes won 5 of their last 5 and Utah State Aggies won 1 of their last 5. Utah Utes come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Utah Utes won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Utah State Aggies won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Utah Utes score 41.4 points a game and let in 20.1. Utah State Aggies score 30.8 and let in 28.5. Their recent games average 61.5 and 59.3 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 52.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Utah +3.5 wins if Utah win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.