EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › J1 League › V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept, 09:30 UTC

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka prediction

PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank

V-Varen NagasakiHome
1.28 : 1.45
expected goals
Cerezo OsakaAway
33%V-Varen
27%Draw
40%Cerezo Osaka
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Cerezo Osaka to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
V-Varen Nagasaki 1.3, Cerezo Osaka 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives V-Varen Nagasaki 33%, the draw 27% and Cerezo Osaka 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    V-Varen Nagasaki took 1 point from their last 5 games and Cerezo Osaka took 7 from 5. Cerezo Osaka come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Cerezo Osaka won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of V-Varen Nagasaki games and 11 of Cerezo Osaka games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 and Cerezo Osaka won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cerezo Osaka 3, V-Varen Nagasaki 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: Cerezo Osaka shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

V-Varen Nagasaki host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on Sat 19 Sept, 09:30 at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank. Our prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

V-Varen Nagasaki form

V-Varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. V-Varen Nagasaki won 1, Cerezo Osaka won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cerezo Osaka 3, V-Varen Nagasaki 2.

Our call

We expect V-Varen Nagasaki to score about 1.3 goals and Cerezo Osaka about 1.4. That points to Cerezo Osaka to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

V-VarenCerezo Osaka
Games played2020
Wins69
Draws36
Losses115
Goals scored2131
Goals conceded3323
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.61.1
Home record3W 3D 4L6W 4D 1L
Away record3W 0D 7L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.42
Both teams to score56%1.79
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw60%1.67
Cerezo Osaka or Draw67%1.49
V-Varen Nagasaki to win and Over 2.520%5.07
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.525%4.05
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet24%4.25
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet28%3.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-28.8%
0-18.7%
2-17.8%
1-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka is Cerezo Osaka to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect V-Varen Nagasaki to score 1.3 goals and Cerezo Osaka 1.4.

Will both teams score in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of V-Varen Nagasaki last 20 games and 11 of Cerezo Osaka last 20.

How are V-Varen Nagasaki playing?

V-Varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka last met?

It ended Cerezo Osaka 3, V-Varen Nagasaki 2. In the last 2 meetings V-Varen Nagasaki won 1 and Cerezo Osaka won 1.

What is the best bet for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.