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Predictions › LaLiga › Valencia vs Real Sociedad
LaLigaSun 20 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Valencia vs Real Sociedad prediction

Mestalla Stadium

ValenciaHome
1.31 : 1.54
expected goals
Real SociedadAway
32%Valencia
26%Draw
42%Real Sociedad
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Sociedad is Real Sociedad to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Real Sociedad to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Valencia 1.3, Real Sociedad 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Valencia 32%, the draw 26% and Real Sociedad 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Valencia took 1 point from their last 5 games and Real Sociedad took 7 from 5. Real Sociedad come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Valencia won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Real Sociedad won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Valencia score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Real Sociedad score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Valencia games and 12 of Real Sociedad games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Valencia won 1 and Real Sociedad won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Sociedad 3, Valencia 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Valencia vs Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Valencia host Real Sociedad in the LaLiga on Sun 20 Sept, 19:00 at Mestalla Stadium. Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Sociedad is Real Sociedad to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Valencia form

Valencia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Real Sociedad form

Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Valencia won 1, Real Sociedad won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Sociedad 3, Valencia 4.

Our call

We expect Valencia to score about 1.3 goals and Real Sociedad about 1.5. That points to Real Sociedad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.5 at 3.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValenciaReal Sociedad
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws37
Losses98
Goals scored2432
Goals conceded2838
Scored per game1.21.6
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record4W 2D 4L3W 4D 2L
Away record4W 1D 5L2W 3D 6L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored45%70%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12
Both teams to score58%1.72
Valencia or Draw58%1.73
Real Sociedad or Draw68%1.46
Valencia to win and Over 2.520%5.02
Real Sociedad to win and Over 2.527%3.69
Valencia clean sheet21%4.69
Real Sociedad clean sheet27%3.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-29.0%
0-18.2%
2-17.6%
0-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Our prediction for Valencia vs Real Sociedad is Real Sociedad to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Valencia to score 1.3 goals and Real Sociedad 1.5.

Will both teams score in Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Valencia last 20 games and 14 of Real Sociedad last 20.

How are Valencia playing?

Valencia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Real Sociedad playing?

Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Valencia and Real Sociedad last met?

It ended Real Sociedad 3, Valencia 4. In the last 1 meeting Valencia won 1 and Real Sociedad won 0.

What is the best bet for Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.