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Predictions › United States › Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC
MLSSun 13 Sept, 18:30 United States time

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC prediction

BC Place

Vancouver WhitecapsHome
2.69 : 0.92
expected goals
Austin FCAway
74%Vancouver
16%Draw
10%Austin
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
-231

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -231.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
74%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2.7, Austin FC 0.9
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at -231
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
70% chanceFair price -2311 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and both score
38% chanceFair price +1661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vancouver Whitecaps 74%, the draw 16% and Austin FC 10%. The bookmakers agree and make Vancouver Whitecaps the favourite at -380.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vancouver Whitecaps took 9 points from their last 5 games and Austin FC took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vancouver Whitecaps won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Austin FC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vancouver Whitecaps score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.0. Austin FC score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps games and 13 of Austin FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC: Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vancouver Whitecaps host Austin FC in the MLS on Sun 13 Sept, 18:30 at BC Place. Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -231.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Austin FC form

Austin FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vancouver Whitecaps to score about 2.7 goals and Austin FC about 0.9. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at -231. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and both score at +166.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VancouverAustin
Games played2020
Wins115
Draws47
Losses58
Goals scored4425
Goals conceded2036
Scored per game2.21.3
Conceded per game1.01.8
Home record7W 1D 3L3W 4D 3L
Away record4W 3D 2L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored45%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Vancouver Whitecaps to win74%-289-380-6.2%
A Draw16%+536+475-9.6%
Austin FC to win10%+901+750-15.1%
Over 3.5 goals47%+113+105-3.6%
Under 3.5 goals53%-113-130-6.3%
Vancouver Whitecaps -1.554%-115-135-6.7%
Austin FC +1.546%+115+100-7.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%-726
Over 2.5 goals70%-231
Over 3.5 goals49%+106
Both teams to score56%-130
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw90%-901
Austin FC or Draw26%+289
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.558%-136
Austin FC to win and Over 2.57%+1383
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet40%+151
Austin FC clean sheet7%+1367

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.8%
2-19.0%
3-08.8%
3-18.1%
1-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at -231.

What is the score prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Vancouver Whitecaps to score 2.7 goals and Austin FC 0.9.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20 games and 13 of Austin FC last 20.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Austin FC playing?

Austin FC have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin FC?

Over 2.5 goals at -231, with a 70% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.