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Predictions › LaLiga › Villarreal vs Levante
LaLigaSun 20 Sept, 16:30 UTC

Villarreal vs Levante prediction

Estadio de la Cerámica

VillarrealHome
2.22 : 1.04
expected goals
LevanteAway
64%Villarreal
20%Draw
16%Levante
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Levante is Villarreal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Villarreal to win
Chance
64%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Villarreal 2.2, Levante 1.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Villarreal to win and both score
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Villarreal 64%, the draw 20% and Levante 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Villarreal took 2 points from their last 5 games and Levante took 5 from 5. Levante come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Villarreal won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Levante won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Villarreal score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Levante score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Villarreal games and 8 of Levante games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Villarreal won 2 and Levante won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Villarreal 5, Levante 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Villarreal vs Levante: Villarreal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Villarreal host Levante in the LaLiga on Sun 20 Sept, 16:30 at Estadio de la Cerámica. Our prediction for Villarreal vs Levante is Villarreal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

Villarreal form

Villarreal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Levante form

Levante have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Villarreal won 2, Levante won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Villarreal 5, Levante 1.

Our call

We expect Villarreal to score about 2.2 goals and Levante about 1.0. That points to Villarreal to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Villarreal to win and both score at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VillarrealLevante
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws55
Losses77
Goals scored3626
Goals conceded3128
Scored per game1.81.3
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record6W 0D 2L7W 1D 2L
Away record2W 5D 5L1W 4D 5L
Clean sheets5%35%
Both teams scored80%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.44
Both teams to score58%1.72
Villarreal or Draw84%1.19
Levante or Draw36%2.75
Villarreal to win and Over 2.546%2.17
Levante to win and Over 2.510%9.56
Villarreal clean sheet35%2.82
Levante clean sheet11%9.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.8%
2-09.5%
1-19.4%
1-08.0%
3-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Villarreal vs Levante?

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Levante is Villarreal to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Villarreal vs Levante?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Villarreal to score 2.2 goals and Levante 1.0.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Levante?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Villarreal last 20 games and 8 of Levante last 20.

How are Villarreal playing?

Villarreal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Levante playing?

Levante have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Villarreal and Levante last met?

It ended Villarreal 5, Levante 1. In the last 2 meetings Villarreal won 2 and Levante won 0.

What is the best bet for Villarreal vs Levante?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.