Predictions › LaLiga › Villarreal vs Real Betis
Villarreal vs Real Betis prediction
Mon 14 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal2.02 - 1.34
expected goals
Real BetisVillarreal 52%Draw 23%Betis 25%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 2.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Villarreal to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal to win | 52% | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.2% |
| A Draw | 23% | 4.41 | 3.90 | -11.6% |
| Real Betis to win | 25% | 4.02 | 3.75 | -6.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.57 | +2.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.88 | 2.40 | -16.5% |
| Villarreal -0.5 | 52% | 1.91 | 1.83 | -3.8% |
| Real Betis +0.5 | 48% | 2.10 | 1.87 | -11.1% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 1.55 |
| Villarreal or Draw | 75% | 1.33 |
| Real Betis or Draw | 48% | 2.10 |
| Villarreal to win and Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Real Betis to win and Over 2.5 | 18% | 5.68 |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 26% | 3.83 |
| Real Betis clean sheet | 13% | 7.50 |
Most likely scores
1-110.0%
2-19.5%
2-07.1%
1-06.4%
2-26.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win Villarreal vs Real Betis?
Our model gives Villarreal a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Real Betis 25%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Real Betis?
We expect about 3.4 goals (Villarreal 2.02, Real Betis 1.34). Over 2.5 goals has a 65% chance.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Real Betis?
Both teams to score has a 65% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 10.0% chance, followed by 2-1 and 2-0.
