Virginia Tech Hokies vs Maryland Terrapins prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Maryland +11.5

75% chanceFair price -3001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Maryland Terrapins 48% and Virginia Tech Hokies 52%. The bookmakers agree and make Virginia Tech Hokies the favourite at -120.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Maryland Terrapins won 1 of their last 5 and Virginia Tech Hokies won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Maryland Terrapins won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Virginia Tech Hokies won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Maryland Terrapins score 25.9 points a game and let in 27.5. Virginia Tech Hokies score 27.2 and let in 27.0. Their recent games average 53.4 and 54.2 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Maryland +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maryland +3.5 wins if Maryland win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.