Predictions › Belgian Pro League › Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense

Belgian Pro LeagueSat 12 Sept, 14:00 UTC

Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense prediction

Freethielstadion

Waasland-BeverenHome

1.40 : 1.64

expected goals

Sint-TruidenseAway

32%Waasland-Beveren

25%Draw

43%Sint-Truidense

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense is Sint-Truidense to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Sint-Truidense to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Waasland-Beveren 1.4, Sint-Truidense 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Waasland-Beveren to win

32% chancePrice 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Waasland-Beveren 32%, the draw 25% and Sint-Truidense 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Sint-Truidense the favourite at 2.25.
2
Recent form
Waasland-Beveren took 6 points from their last 5 games and Sint-Truidense took 8 from 5. Sint-Truidense come in with the better run.
3
Goals
Waasland-Beveren score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.0. Sint-Truidense score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Waasland-Beveren games and 12 of Sint-Truidense games in that run.
4
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense: Sint-Truidense shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Waasland-Beveren host Sint-Truidense in the Belgian Pro League on Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 at Freethielstadion. Our prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense is Sint-Truidense to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Waasland-Beveren form

Waasland-Beveren have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from 2. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Sint-Truidense form

Sint-Truidense have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Waasland-Beveren to score about 1.4 goals and Sint-Truidense about 1.6. That points to Sint-Truidense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Waasland-Beveren to win at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Waasland-Beveren	Sint-Truidense
Games played	5	20
Wins	2	8
Draws	0	4
Losses	3	8
Goals scored	5	33
Goals conceded	10	26
Scored per game	1.0	1.6
Conceded per game	2.0	1.3
Home record	2W 0D 0L	5W 2D 3L
Away record	0W 0D 3L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Both teams scored	20%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Waasland-Beveren to win	32%	3.10	3.10	-0.1%
A Draw	25%	3.96	3.50	-11.6%
Sint-Truidense to win	43%	2.35	2.25	-4.3%
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.69	1.57	-7.0%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.45	2.30	-6.1%
Waasland-Beveren +0.5	57%	1.76	1.65	-6.4%
Sint-Truidense -0.5	43%	2.32	2.15	-7.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.71
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.76
Both teams to score	61%	1.63
Waasland-Beveren or Draw	57%	1.74
Sint-Truidense or Draw	68%	1.48
Waasland-Beveren to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.65
Sint-Truidense to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.45
Waasland-Beveren clean sheet	19%	5.15
Sint-Truidense clean sheet	25%	4.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

1-29.0%

2-17.7%

0-17.2%

0-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?

Our prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense is Sint-Truidense to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Waasland-Beveren to score 1.4 goals and Sint-Truidense 1.6.

Will both teams score in Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 1 of Waasland-Beveren last 5 games and 11 of Sint-Truidense last 20.

How are Waasland-Beveren playing?

How are Sint-Truidense playing?

What is the best bet for Waasland-Beveren vs Sint-Truidense?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.