Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Purdue Boilermakers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points

75% chanceFair price -2981 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Purdue to win

43% chancePrice +1241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Purdue Boilermakers 43% and Wake Forest Demon Deacons 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Wake Forest Demon Deacons the favourite at -148.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 5 and Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 4 of their last 5. Wake Forest Demon Deacons come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Purdue Boilermakers won 1 of their last 6 games at home. Wake Forest Demon Deacons won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Purdue Boilermakers score 18.5 points a game and let in 34.9. Wake Forest Demon Deacons score 29.3 and let in 23.7. Their recent games average 53.5 and 52.9 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 40.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Purdue +3.5 wins if Purdue win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.