Washington Capitals vs Boston Bruins prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals

83% chanceFair price -4742 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Capitals to win

37% chanceFair price +1691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Boston Bruins 63% and Washington Capitals 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Boston Bruins won 2 of their last 5 and Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5. Washington Capitals come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Boston Bruins won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Washington Capitals won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Boston Bruins score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.8. Washington Capitals score 3.3 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 5.8 and 6.2 goals in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Boston Bruins won 4 and Washington Capitals won 1. The last one ended Washington Capitals 2, Boston Bruins 3.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bruins +3.5 wins if Bruins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.