PredictionsUnited StatesWashington Mystics vs Chicago Sky
WNBAThu 17 Sept, 20:00 United States time

Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky prediction

Wintrust Arena

Washington MysticsAway
85.4 : 83.0
projected points
Chicago SkyHome
59%Mystics
41%Sky
Eagle safe pickSky +10.5
-331

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky is Washington Mystics to win, with a 59% chance. We project Washington Mystics 85.4 and Chicago Sky 83.0. Our best bet is Sky +10.5 at -331.

Prediction
Washington Mystics to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Washington Mystics 85, Chicago Sky 83
Projected total
168.4 points
Best bet
Sky +10.5 at -331

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Sky +10.5
77% chanceFair price -3312 units

Eagle bold pick

Sky to win
41% chancePrice +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chicago Sky 41% and Washington Mystics 59%. The bookmakers agree and make Washington Mystics the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chicago Sky won 2 of their last 5 and Washington Mystics won 3 of their last 5. Washington Mystics come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chicago Sky won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Washington Mystics won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Chicago Sky score 86.8 points a game and let in 89.4. Washington Mystics score 84.5 and let in 81.5. Their recent games average 176.2 and 166.1 points in total, and the market line is 167.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Chicago Sky won 0 and Washington Mystics won 1. The last one ended Washington Mystics 90, Chicago Sky 72.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Sky +10.5 has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky: Washington Mystics are favourites

The big picture

Chicago Sky host Washington Mystics in the WNBA on Thu 17 Sept, 20:00 at Wintrust Arena. Our prediction for Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky is Washington Mystics to win, with a 59% chance. We project Washington Mystics 85.4 and Chicago Sky 83.0. Our best bet is Sky +10.5 at -331.

Chicago Sky form

Chicago Sky have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 1735 points scored and 1788 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Washington Mystics form

Washington Mystics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1691 points scored and 1631 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Chicago Sky won 0, Washington Mystics won 1. Last time out it finished Washington Mystics 90, Chicago Sky 72.

Our call

We expect Washington Mystics to score about 85.4 points and Chicago Sky about 83.0. That points to Washington Mystics to win. Our safest bet is Sky +10.5 at -331. Our bold bet is Sky to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SkyMystics
Games played2020
Wins914
Losses116
Points scored17351691
Points conceded17881631
Scored per game86.884.5
Conceded per game89.481.5
Home record7W 3L9W 2L
Away record2W 8L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sky to win41%+141+130-4.7%
Mystics to win59%-141-155-3.7%
Sky +3.554%-116-110+2.7%
Mystics -3.546%+116-110-11.8%
Over 167.5 points52%-110-110-0.1%
Under 167.5 points48%+110-110-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Sky spreadCoversFair
Sky -3.529%+240
Sky -0.539%+154
Sky +2.550%-101
Sky +5.561%-156
Sky +8.571%-243
Total pointsOverUnder
162.565%35%
165.558%42%
168.550%50%
171.542%58%
174.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sky +3.5 wins if Sky win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky?

Our prediction for Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky is Washington Mystics to win, with a 59% chance. We project Washington Mystics 85.4 and Chicago Sky 83.0. Our best bet is Sky +10.5 at -331.

What is the projected score for Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky?

We project Washington Mystics 85.4 and Chicago Sky 83.0, about 168.4 points in total.

How are Chicago Sky playing?

Chicago Sky have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 1735 points scored and 1788 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Washington Mystics playing?

Washington Mystics have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 1691 points scored and 1631 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics last met?

It ended Washington Mystics 90, Chicago Sky 72. In the last 1 meeting Chicago Sky won 0 and Washington Mystics won 1.

What is the best bet for Washington Mystics vs Chicago Sky?

Sky +10.5 at -331, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.