Washington Mystics vs Indiana Fever prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Fever to win

76% chanceFair price -3222 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Indiana Fever 76% and Washington Mystics 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Indiana Fever won 3 of their last 5 and Washington Mystics won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Indiana Fever won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Washington Mystics won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Indiana Fever score 100.5 points a game and let in 93.0. Washington Mystics score 84.5 and let in 81.5. Their recent games average 193.6 and 166.1 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Indiana Fever won 1 and Washington Mystics won 1. The last one ended Washington Mystics 76, Indiana Fever 78.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Fever to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Fever +3.5 wins if Fever win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.