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Predictions › United States › Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals
MLBFri 18 Sept, 20:15 United States time

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction

Busch Stadium

Washington NationalsAway
4.6 : 4.0
projected runs
St. Louis CardinalsHome
56%Nationals
44%Cardinals
Eagle safe pickNationals +1.5
-221

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals is Washington Nationals to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Nationals 4.6 and St. Louis Cardinals 4.0. Our best bet is Nationals +1.5 at -221.

Prediction
Washington Nationals to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Washington Nationals 5, St. Louis Cardinals 4
Projected total
8.6 runs
Best bet
Nationals +1.5 at -221

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nationals +1.5
69% chanceFair price -2211 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cardinals to win
44% chanceFair price +1261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St. Louis Cardinals 44% and Washington Nationals 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St. Louis Cardinals won 1 of their last 5 and Washington Nationals won 0 of their last 5. St. Louis Cardinals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St. Louis Cardinals won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Washington Nationals won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    St. Louis Cardinals score 5.5 runs a game and let in 6.6. Washington Nationals score 4.0 and let in 5.0. Their recent games average 12.1 and 8.9 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, St. Louis Cardinals won 3 and Washington Nationals won 2. The last one ended Washington Nationals 1, St. Louis Cardinals 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nationals +1.5 has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals: Washington Nationals shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis Cardinals host Washington Nationals in the MLB on Fri 18 Sept, 20:15 at Busch Stadium. Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals is Washington Nationals to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Nationals 4.6 and St. Louis Cardinals 4.0. Our best bet is Nationals +1.5 at -221.

St. Louis Cardinals form

St. Louis Cardinals have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 110 runs scored and 132 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Washington Nationals form

Washington Nationals have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 runs scored and 99 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 10 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. St. Louis Cardinals won 3, Washington Nationals won 2. Last time out it finished Washington Nationals 1, St. Louis Cardinals 6.

Our call

We expect Washington Nationals to score about 4.6 runs and St. Louis Cardinals about 4.0. That points to Washington Nationals to win. Our safest bet is Nationals +1.5 at -221. Our bold bet is Cardinals to win at +126.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CardinalsNationals
Games played2020
Wins76
Losses1314
Runs scored11080
Runs conceded13299
Scored per game5.54.0
Conceded per game6.65.0
Home record2W 4L6W 4L
Away record5W 9L0W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cardinals spreadCoversFair
Cardinals -1.531%+221
Cardinals -0.540%+150
Cardinals +0.549%+102
Cardinals +1.559%-143
Cardinals +2.568%-210
Total runsOverUnder
6.568%32%
7.560%40%
8.551%49%
9.542%58%
10.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cardinals +3.5 wins if Cardinals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals?

Our prediction for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals is Washington Nationals to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Washington Nationals 4.6 and St. Louis Cardinals 4.0. Our best bet is Nationals +1.5 at -221.

What is the projected score for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals?

We project Washington Nationals 4.6 and St. Louis Cardinals 4.0, about 8.6 runs in total.

How are St. Louis Cardinals playing?

St. Louis Cardinals have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 110 runs scored and 132 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Washington Nationals playing?

Washington Nationals have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 runs scored and 99 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 10 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when St. Louis Cardinals and Washington Nationals last met?

It ended Washington Nationals 1, St. Louis Cardinals 6. In the last 5 meetings St. Louis Cardinals won 3 and Washington Nationals won 2.

What is the best bet for Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals?

Nationals +1.5 at -221, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.