Washington State Cougars vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Washington St +27.5

74% chanceFair price -2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Kansas State Wildcats 87% and Washington State Cougars 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas State Wildcats the favourite at -1000.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Kansas State Wildcats won 3 of their last 5 and Washington State Cougars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Kansas State Wildcats won 4 of their last 5 games at home. Washington State Cougars won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Kansas State Wildcats score 34.4 points a game and let in 24.0. Washington State Cougars score 21.2 and let in 22.0. Their recent games average 58.4 and 43.2 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Washington St +27.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas St +3.5 wins if Kansas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.