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Predictions › United Kingdom › West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers
ChampionshipSat 12 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

The Hawthorns

West Bromwich AlbionHome
1.44 : 1.12
expected goals
Queens Park RangersAway
44%West Brom
28%Draw
29%QPR
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
West Bromwich Albion to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
West Bromwich Albion 1.4, Queens Park Rangers 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Queens Park Rangers to win
29% chancePrice 5/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Bromwich Albion 44%, the draw 28% and Queens Park Rangers 29%. The bookmakers agree and make West Bromwich Albion the favourite at 11/10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Bromwich Albion took 7 points from their last 5 games and Queens Park Rangers took 8 from 5. Queens Park Rangers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Bromwich Albion won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Queens Park Rangers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Bromwich Albion score 1.5 goals a game and let in 0.9. Queens Park Rangers score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of West Bromwich Albion games and 11 of Queens Park Rangers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, West Bromwich Albion won 1 and Queens Park Rangers won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended West Bromwich Albion 2, Queens Park Rangers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers: West Bromwich Albion shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

West Bromwich Albion host Queens Park Rangers in the Championship on Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 at The Hawthorns. Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

West Bromwich Albion form

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Queens Park Rangers form

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. West Bromwich Albion won 1, Queens Park Rangers won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished West Bromwich Albion 2, Queens Park Rangers 1.

Our call

We expect West Bromwich Albion to score about 1.4 goals and Queens Park Rangers about 1.1. That points to West Bromwich Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Queens Park Rangers to win at 5/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West BromQPR
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws75
Losses49
Goals scored3023
Goals conceded1831
Scored per game1.51.1
Conceded per game0.91.6
Home record4W 5D 0L3W 3D 5L
Away record5W 2D 4L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
West Bromwich Albion to win44%5/411/10-5.9%
A Draw28%13/55/2-2.9%
Queens Park Rangers to win29%5/25/2-1.6%
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens4/5-9.1%
Under 2.5 goals49%Evens10/11-3.4%
West Bromwich Albion -0.545%5/421/20-8.3%
Queens Park Rangers +0.555%4/54/6-6.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%4/11
Over 2.5 goals47%11/10
Over 3.5 goals25%3/1
Both teams to score52%10/11
West Bromwich Albion or Draw71%2/5
Queens Park Rangers or Draw56%4/5
West Bromwich Albion to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Queens Park Rangers to win and Over 2.516%11/2
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet33%2/1
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet24%10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-010.4%
2-19.0%
0-08.5%
2-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers?

Our prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers is West Bromwich Albion to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect West Bromwich Albion to score 1.4 goals and Queens Park Rangers 1.1.

Will both teams score in West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of West Bromwich Albion last 20 games and 10 of Queens Park Rangers last 20.

How are West Bromwich Albion playing?

West Bromwich Albion have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Queens Park Rangers playing?

Queens Park Rangers have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when West Bromwich Albion and Queens Park Rangers last met?

It ended West Bromwich Albion 2, Queens Park Rangers 1. In the last 2 meetings West Bromwich Albion won 1 and Queens Park Rangers won 1.

What is the best bet for West Bromwich Albion vs Queens Park Rangers?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.