West Georgia Wolves vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Arkansas St -21.5

73% chanceFair price -2761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Arkansas State Red Wolves 97% and West Georgia Wolves 3%. The bookmakers agree and make Arkansas State Red Wolves the favourite at -10000.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Arkansas State Red Wolves won 2 of their last 5 and West Georgia Wolves won 0 of their last 1. Arkansas State Red Wolves come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Scoring

   Arkansas State Red Wolves score 24.6 points a game and let in 26.5. West Georgia Wolves score 0.0 and let in 47.0. Their recent games average 51.1 and 47.0 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

4. 4
   The safest bet

   Arkansas St -21.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas St +3.5 wins if Arkansas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.