PredictionsUnited KingdomWest Ham United vs Fulham
Carabao CupTue 15 Sept, 19:45 United Kingdom time

West Ham United vs Fulham prediction

London Stadium

West Ham UnitedHome
1.32 : 1.62
expected goals
FulhamAway
31%West Ham
26%Draw
44%Fulham
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Fulham is Fulham to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Fulham to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
West Ham United 1.3, Fulham 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units

Eagle bold pick

Fulham to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 5/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Ham United 31%, the draw 26% and Fulham 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Fulham the favourite at 11/10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Ham United took 13 points from their last 5 games and Fulham took 6 from 5. West Ham United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Ham United won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Fulham won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Ham United score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Fulham score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of West Ham United games and 11 of Fulham games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, West Ham United won 1 and Fulham won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fulham 0, West Ham United 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

West Ham United vs Fulham: Fulham shade it

The big picture

West Ham United host Fulham in the Carabao Cup on Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 at London Stadium. Our prediction for West Ham United vs Fulham is Fulham to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Fulham form

Fulham have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. West Ham United won 1, Fulham won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fulham 0, West Ham United 1.

Our call

We expect West Ham United to score about 1.3 goals and Fulham about 1.6. That points to Fulham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Fulham to win and Over 2.5 at 5/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West HamFulham
Games played2020
Wins107
Draws43
Losses610
Goals scored4124
Goals conceded2727
Scored per game2.01.2
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record7W 1D 2L6W 0D 5L
Away record3W 3D 4L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals70%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
West Ham United to win31%9/42/1-6.4%
A Draw26%3/112/5-12.8%
Fulham to win44%5/411/10-8.3%
Over 2.5 goals56%4/54/6-6.1%
Under 2.5 goals44%5/411/10-6.1%
West Ham United +0.556%4/54/6-8.3%
Fulham -0.544%5/421/20-9.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals56%4/5
Over 3.5 goals34%2/1
Both teams to score59%4/6
West Ham United or Draw56%4/5
Fulham or Draw69%4/9
West Ham United to win and Over 2.520%4/1
Fulham to win and Over 2.529%5/2
West Ham United clean sheet20%4/1
Fulham clean sheet27%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-29.1%
0-17.9%
2-17.5%
0-26.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Ham United vs Fulham?

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Fulham is Fulham to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for West Ham United vs Fulham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect West Ham United to score 1.3 goals and Fulham 1.6.

Will both teams score in West Ham United vs Fulham?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of West Ham United last 20 games and 9 of Fulham last 20.

How are West Ham United playing?

West Ham United have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Fulham playing?

Fulham have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when West Ham United and Fulham last met?

It ended Fulham 0, West Ham United 1. In the last 2 meetings West Ham United won 1 and Fulham won 1.

What is the best bet for West Ham United vs Fulham?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.