West Virginia Mountaineers vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Virginia to win

73% chancePrice -3251 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

West Virginia to win

27% chancePrice +2601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Virginia Cavaliers 73% and West Virginia Mountaineers 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Virginia Cavaliers the favourite at -325.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Virginia Cavaliers won 4 of their last 5 and West Virginia Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5. Virginia Cavaliers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Virginia Cavaliers won 6 of their last 8 games at home. West Virginia Mountaineers won 1 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Virginia Cavaliers score 29.7 points a game and let in 18.5. West Virginia Mountaineers score 21.5 and let in 34.0. Their recent games average 48.2 and 55.5 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Virginia to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Virginia +3.5 wins if Virginia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.