Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Indiana Hoosiers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 66.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Indiana Hoosiers 92% and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 8%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Indiana Hoosiers won 5 of their last 5 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 2 of their last 5. Indiana Hoosiers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Indiana Hoosiers won 9 of their last 9 games at home. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Indiana Hoosiers score 42.3 points a game and let in 12.0. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers score 25.5 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 54.3 and 50.2 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 66.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Indiana +3.5 wins if Indiana win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.