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Predictions › Eredivisie › Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard
EredivisieSat 19 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem IIHome
1.58 : 2.11
expected goals
Fortuna SittardAway
28%Willem II
22%Draw
50%Fortuna
Eagle safe pickFortuna Sittard or Draw
1.40

Quick answer

Our prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard is Fortuna Sittard to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.40.

Prediction
Fortuna Sittard to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Willem II 1.6, Fortuna Sittard 2.1
Best bet
Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.40
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fortuna Sittard or Draw
72% chanceFair price 1.401 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fortuna Sittard to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Willem II 28%, the draw 22% and Fortuna Sittard 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Willem II took 2 points from their last 5 games and Fortuna Sittard took 10 from 5. Fortuna Sittard come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Willem II won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Fortuna Sittard won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Willem II score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.8. Fortuna Sittard score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Willem II games and 16 of Fortuna Sittard games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Fortuna Sittard or Draw has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard: Fortuna Sittard are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Willem II host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 at Koning Willem II Stadion. Our prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard is Fortuna Sittard to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.40.

Willem II form

Willem II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Fortuna Sittard form

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Willem II to score about 1.6 goals and Fortuna Sittard about 2.1. That points to Fortuna Sittard to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.40. Our bold bet is Fortuna Sittard to win and Over 2.5 at 2.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Willem IIFortuna
Games played520
Wins08
Draws23
Losses39
Goals scored532
Goals conceded1439
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game2.81.9
Home record0W 1D 2L3W 2D 4L
Away record0W 1D 1L5W 1D 5L
Clean sheets0%0%
Both teams scored80%85%
Over 2.5 goals80%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.41
Over 3.5 goals50%1.99
Both teams to score70%1.43
Willem II or Draw50%1.98
Fortuna Sittard or Draw72%1.40
Willem II to win and Over 2.522%4.57
Fortuna Sittard to win and Over 2.539%2.55
Willem II clean sheet12%8.23
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet21%4.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.9%
1-28.8%
2-26.9%
2-16.6%
1-36.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard is Fortuna Sittard to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.40.

What is the score prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect Willem II to score 1.6 goals and Fortuna Sittard 2.1.

Will both teams score in Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Willem II last 5 games and 17 of Fortuna Sittard last 20.

How are Willem II playing?

Willem II have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 games, with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Fortuna Sittard playing?

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?

Fortuna Sittard or Draw at 1.40, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.