Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Wolverhampton Wanderers 48%, the draw 26% and West Bromwich Albion 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Wolverhampton Wanderers took 10 points from their last 5 games and West Bromwich Albion took 7 from 5. Wolverhampton Wanderers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Wolverhampton Wanderers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. West Bromwich Albion won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.5. West Bromwich Albion score 1.5 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games and 10 of West Bromwich Albion games in that run.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.