Predictions › United Kingdom › Wrexham vs Southampton

ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Wrexham vs Southampton prediction

STōK Cae Ras

WrexhamHome

1.51 : 1.90

expected goals

SouthamptonAway

30%Wrexham

23%Draw

46%Southampton

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction: Southampton to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Wrexham 1.5, Southampton 1.9
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score: 67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1/62 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Southampton to win and Over 2.5

35% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Wrexham 30%, the draw 23% and Southampton 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Wrexham took 5 points from their last 5 games and Southampton took 8 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Wrexham won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Southampton won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Wrexham score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Southampton score 2.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Wrexham games and 14 of Southampton games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Wrexham won 0 and Southampton won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Wrexham 1, Southampton 5.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Wrexham vs Southampton: Southampton are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wrexham host Southampton in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at STōK Cae Ras. Our prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Southampton form

Southampton have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Wrexham won 0, Southampton won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Wrexham 1, Southampton 5.

Our call

We expect Wrexham to score about 1.5 goals and Southampton about 1.9. That points to Southampton to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Southampton to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Wrexham	Southampton
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	13
Draws	6	5
Losses	8	2
Goals scored	23	43
Goals conceded	32	21
Scored per game	1.1	2.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.1
Home record	2W 3D 3L	8W 2D 1L
Away record	4W 3D 5L	5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1/6
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1/2
Over 3.5 goals	44%	5/4
Both teams to score	67%	1/2
Wrexham or Draw	54%	5/6
Southampton or Draw	70%	4/9
Wrexham to win and Over 2.5	22%	7/2
Southampton to win and Over 2.5	35%	15/8
Wrexham clean sheet	15%	11/2
Southampton clean sheet	22%	7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%

1-29.0%

2-17.2%

2-26.8%

0-26.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Championship

West Ham Dominate Wrexham in Record Breaking London Stadium Match

Wrexham suffered their heaviest defeat under celebrity owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob Mac in a six to zero loss against West Ham.

2 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Wrexham vs Southampton?

Our prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton is Southampton to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Wrexham to score 1.5 goals and Southampton 1.9.

Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Southampton?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Wrexham last 20 games and 15 of Southampton last 20.

How are Wrexham playing?

How are Southampton playing?

What happened when Wrexham and Southampton last met?

It ended Wrexham 1, Southampton 5. In the last 1 meeting Wrexham won 0 and Southampton won 1.

What is the best bet for Wrexham vs Southampton?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.