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Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus
2. BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus prediction

Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 1846Home
2.43 : 1.59
expected goals
Energie CottbusAway
56%Heidenheim
20%Draw
24%Cottbus
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2.4, Energie Cottbus 1.6
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and both score
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 56%, the draw 20% and Energie Cottbus 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    1. FC Heidenheim 1846 took 11 points from their last 5 games and Energie Cottbus took 5 from 5. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Energie Cottbus won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    1. FC Heidenheim 1846 score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Energie Cottbus score 2.1 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 games and 6 of Energie Cottbus games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Heidenheimrecent form+4%
Heidenheim form D D W W WCottbus form D D W D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 host Energie Cottbus in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 at Voith-Arena. Our prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32.

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 form

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Energie Cottbus form

Energie Cottbus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to score about 2.4 goals and Energie Cottbus about 1.6. That points to 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and both score at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HeidenheimCottbus
Games played207
Wins72
Draws62
Losses73
Goals scored3615
Goals conceded3716
Scored per game1.82.1
Conceded per game1.92.3
Home record5W 3D 2L1W 1D 1L
Away record2W 3D 5L1W 1D 2L
Clean sheets20%14%
Both teams scored60%71%
Over 2.5 goals60%86%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1.09
Over 2.5 goals77%1.31
Over 3.5 goals57%1.75
Both teams to score73%1.37
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 or Draw76%1.32
Energie Cottbus or Draw44%2.26
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and Over 2.547%2.15
Energie Cottbus to win and Over 2.520%5.11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 clean sheet20%4.92
Energie Cottbus clean sheet9%11.39

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.4%
1-17.3%
3-16.8%
2-26.7%
1-25.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus?

Our prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to score 2.4 goals and Energie Cottbus 1.6.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 last 20 games and 5 of Energie Cottbus last 7.

How are 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 playing?

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Energie Cottbus playing?

Energie Cottbus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Energie Cottbus?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Heidenheim against Cottbus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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