Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern

2. BundesligaFri 9 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern prediction

Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 1846Home

1.86 : 1.24

expected goals

KaiserslauternAway

51%Heidenheim

24%Draw

25%Kaiserslautern

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1.9, Kaiserslautern 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 51%, the draw 24% and Kaiserslautern 25%. The bookmakers agree and make 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 the favourite at 1.87.
2
Recent form
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 took 10 points from their last 5 games and Kaiserslautern took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Kaiserslautern won 4 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 games and 11 of Kaiserslautern games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Heidenheimrecent form+3%
Kaiserslauternrecent form+4%

Heidenheim form D W W W LKaiserslautern form W L W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 host Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 9 Oct, 16:30 at Voith-Arena. Our prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 form

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Kaiserslautern form

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to score about 1.9 goals and Kaiserslautern about 1.2. That points to 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and Over 2.5 at 2.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Heidenheim	Kaiserslautern
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	10
Draws	5	2
Losses	8	8
Goals scored	36	23
Goals conceded	39	24
Scored per game	1.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.9	1.2
Home record	5W 2D 3L	6W 1D 2L
Away record	2W 3D 5L	4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets	15%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	20%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win	48%	2.08	1.87	-10.0%
A Draw	23%	4.29	3.40	-20.8%
Kaiserslautern to win	24%	4.15	3.95	-4.7%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.77	1.54	-13.1%
Under 2.5 goals	37%	2.67	2.25	-15.7%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 -0.5	48%	2.10	1.80	-14.4%
Kaiserslautern +0.5	46%	2.17	1.83	-15.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.67
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.67
Both teams to score	61%	1.65
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 or Draw	75%	1.33
Kaiserslautern or Draw	49%	2.05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win and Over 2.5	36%	2.80
Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 clean sheet	29%	3.45
Kaiserslautern clean sheet	16%	6.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

2-19.7%

2-07.8%

1-07.8%

1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern?

Our prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern is 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 to score 1.9 goals and Kaiserslautern 1.2.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 last 20 games and 4 of Kaiserslautern last 20.

How are 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 playing?

How are Kaiserslautern playing?

What is the best bet for 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs Kaiserslautern?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Heidenheim against Kaiserslautern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.