Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96

2. BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 prediction

MDCC-Arena

1. FC MagdeburgHome

1.53 : 1.67

expected goals

Hannover 96Away

35%Magdeburg

25%Draw

41%Hannover

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 is Hannover 96 to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Hannover 96 to win
Chance: 41%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: 1. FC Magdeburg 1.5, Hannover 96 1.7
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives 1. FC Magdeburg 35%, the draw 25% and Hannover 96 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Hannover 96 the favourite at 2.35.
2
Recent form
1. FC Magdeburg took 10 points from their last 5 games and Hannover 96 took 7 from 5. 1. FC Magdeburg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
1. FC Magdeburg won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Hannover 96 won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
1. FC Magdeburg score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. Hannover 96 score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg games and 11 of Hannover 96 games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 and Hannover 96 won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Hannover 96 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Magdeburgrecent form+3%
Hannoverrecent form+3%

Magdeburg form D W L W WHannover form W L D W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96: Hannover 96 shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Magdeburg host Hannover 96 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 at MDCC-Arena. Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 is Hannover 96 to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

1. FC Magdeburg form

1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Hannover 96 form

Hannover 96 have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. 1. FC Magdeburg won 0, Hannover 96 won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Hannover 96 2.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Magdeburg to score about 1.5 goals and Hannover 96 about 1.7. That points to Hannover 96 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5 at 3.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Magdeburg	Hannover
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	8
Draws	2	8
Losses	9	4
Goals scored	37	32
Goals conceded	34	26
Scored per game	1.9	1.6
Conceded per game	1.7	1.3
Home record	5W 1D 4L	3W 6D 2L
Away record	4W 1D 5L	5W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Both teams scored	55%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
1. FC Magdeburg to win	33%	3.03	2.55	-15.8%
A Draw	24%	4.17	3.80	-8.8%
Hannover 96 to win	38%	2.64	2.35	-11.2%
Over 3.5 goals	43%	2.35	1.91	-18.6%
Under 3.5 goals	51%	1.96	1.77	-9.6%
1. FC Magdeburg +0.5	56%	1.78	1.53	-14.3%
Hannover 96 -0.5	38%	2.65	2.25	-15.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.61
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.51
Both teams to score	64%	1.55
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw	59%	1.68
Hannover 96 or Draw	65%	1.53
1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.10
Hannover 96 to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.47
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet	19%	5.32
Hannover 96 clean sheet	22%	4.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

1-28.7%

2-18.0%

2-26.7%

0-16.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 is Hannover 96 to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect 1. FC Magdeburg to score 1.5 goals and Hannover 96 1.7.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg last 20 games and 14 of Hannover 96 last 20.

How are 1. FC Magdeburg playing?

How are Hannover 96 playing?

What happened when 1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 last met?

It ended 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Hannover 96 2. In the last 1 meeting 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 and Hannover 96 won 1.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Magdeburg against Hannover. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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