Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC
2. BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 11:00 Germany time

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC prediction

MDCC-Arena

1. FC MagdeburgHome
1.98 : 1.04
expected goals
Karlsruher SCAway
58%Magdeburg
23%Draw
19%Karlsruher
Eagle safe pick1. FC Magdeburg or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is 1. FC Magdeburg or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
1. FC Magdeburg to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
1. FC Magdeburg 2.0, Karlsruher SC 1.0
Best bet
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

1. FC Magdeburg or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives 1. FC Magdeburg 58%, the draw 23% and Karlsruher SC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    1. FC Magdeburg took 10 points from their last 5 games and Karlsruher SC took 1 from 5. 1. FC Magdeburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    1. FC Magdeburg won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Karlsruher SC won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    1. FC Magdeburg score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Karlsruher SC score 1.4 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg games and 16 of Karlsruher SC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 and Karlsruher SC won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Karlsruher SC 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    1. FC Magdeburg or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Magdeburgrecent form+1%
  • Karlsruherrecent form-6%
Magdeburg form D D W L WKarlsruher form L L L D LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC: 1. FC Magdeburg are favourites

The big picture

1. FC Magdeburg host Karlsruher SC in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 at MDCC-Arena. Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is 1. FC Magdeburg or Draw at 1.26.

1. FC Magdeburg form

1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Karlsruher SC form

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. 1. FC Magdeburg won 0, Karlsruher SC won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Karlsruher SC 3.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Magdeburg to score about 2.0 goals and Karlsruher SC about 1.0. That points to 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is 1. FC Magdeburg or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is 1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MagdeburgKarlsruher
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws24
Losses910
Goals scored3529
Goals conceded3041
Scored per game1.81.4
Conceded per game1.52.0
Home record6W 1D 4L5W 1D 5L
Away record3W 1D 5L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets30%5%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.80
Both teams to score56%1.77
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw81%1.23
Karlsruher SC or Draw42%2.41
1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.540%2.51
Karlsruher SC to win and Over 2.512%8.53
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet35%2.84
Karlsruher SC clean sheet14%7.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%
1-09.0%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?

Our prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is 1. FC Magdeburg or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect 1. FC Magdeburg to score 2.0 goals and Karlsruher SC 1.0.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of 1. FC Magdeburg last 20 games and 13 of Karlsruher SC last 20.

How are 1. FC Magdeburg playing?

1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Karlsruher SC playing?

Karlsruher SC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC last met?

It ended 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Karlsruher SC 3. In the last 2 meetings 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 and Karlsruher SC won 2.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC?

1. FC Magdeburg or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Magdeburg against Karlsruher. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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