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Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern
2. BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 18:30 Germany time

1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern prediction

Max-Morlock-Stadion

1. FC NürnbergHome
1.97 : 0.89
expected goals
KaiserslauternAway
62%1. FC Nürnberg
22%Draw
16%Kaiserslautern
Eagle safe pick1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
1. FC Nürnberg to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
1. FC Nürnberg 2.0, Kaiserslautern 0.9
Best bet
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives 1. FC Nürnberg 62%, the draw 22% and Kaiserslautern 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    1. FC Nürnberg took 11 points from their last 5 games and Kaiserslautern took 10 from 5. 1. FC Nürnberg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    1. FC Nürnberg won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Kaiserslautern won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    1. FC Nürnberg score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of 1. FC Nürnberg games and 10 of Kaiserslautern games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 1 and Kaiserslautern won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended 1. FC Nürnberg 3, Kaiserslautern 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    1. FC Nürnberg or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • 1. FC Nürnbergrecent form+4%
  • Kaiserslauternrecent form+3%
1. FC Nürnberg form D W W D WKaiserslautern form D W L W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern: 1. FC Nürnberg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Nürnberg host Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 18:30 at Max-Morlock-Stadion. Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.21.

1. FC Nürnberg form

1. FC Nürnberg have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Kaiserslautern form

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. 1. FC Nürnberg won 1, Kaiserslautern won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Nürnberg 3, Kaiserslautern 0.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Nürnberg to score about 2.0 goals and Kaiserslautern about 0.9. That points to 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

1. FC NürnbergKaiserslautern
Games played2020
Wins1010
Draws73
Losses37
Goals scored4323
Goals conceded2520
Scored per game2.11.1
Conceded per game1.31.0
Home record7W 1D 2L6W 1D 2L
Away record3W 6D 1L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%55%
Both teams scored65%20%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.83
Over 3.5 goals32%3.11
Both teams to score51%1.94
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw84%1.19
Kaiserslautern or Draw38%2.62
1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.540%2.49
Kaiserslautern to win and Over 2.59%11.12
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet41%2.44
Kaiserslautern clean sheet14%7.16

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.1%
1-110.7%
1-010.6%
2-19.9%
3-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is 1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect 1. FC Nürnberg to score 2.0 goals and Kaiserslautern 0.9.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of 1. FC Nürnberg last 20 games and 4 of Kaiserslautern last 20.

How are 1. FC Nürnberg playing?

1. FC Nürnberg have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Kaiserslautern playing?

Kaiserslautern have 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when 1. FC Nürnberg and Kaiserslautern last met?

It ended 1. FC Nürnberg 3, Kaiserslautern 0. In the last 2 meetings 1. FC Nürnberg won 1 and Kaiserslautern won 0.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern?

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw at 1.21, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in 1. FC Nürnberg against Kaiserslautern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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