Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98

2. BundesligaSat 7 Nov, 12:00 Germany time

1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 prediction

Max-Morlock-Stadion

1. FC NürnbergHome

2.68 : 0.99

expected goals

SV Darmstadt 98Away

73%1. FC Nürnberg

16%Draw

11%Darmstadt

Eagle safe pick1. FC Nürnberg to win

1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.35.

Prediction: 1. FC Nürnberg to win
Chance: 73%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.7, SV Darmstadt 98 1.0
Best bet: 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.35
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

1. FC Nürnberg to win

74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Nürnberg to win and both score

38% chanceFair price 2.631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives 1. FC Nürnberg 73%, the draw 16% and SV Darmstadt 98 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
1. FC Nürnberg took 8 points from their last 5 games and SV Darmstadt 98 took 7 from 5. 1. FC Nürnberg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
1. FC Nürnberg won 6 of their last 10 games at home. SV Darmstadt 98 won 0 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
1. FC Nürnberg score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. SV Darmstadt 98 score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of 1. FC Nürnberg games and 11 of SV Darmstadt 98 games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, 1. FC Nürnberg won 0 and SV Darmstadt 98 won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended SV Darmstadt 98 2, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
6
The safest bet
1. FC Nürnberg to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

1. FC Nürnbergrecent form+3%
Darmstadtrecent form-1%

1. FC Nürnberg form D D D W WDarmstadt form D D L W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98: 1. FC Nürnberg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Nürnberg host SV Darmstadt 98 in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 at Max-Morlock-Stadion. Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.35.

1. FC Nürnberg form

1. FC Nürnberg have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

SV Darmstadt 98 form

SV Darmstadt 98 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. 1. FC Nürnberg won 0, SV Darmstadt 98 won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SV Darmstadt 98 2, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Nürnberg to score about 2.7 goals and SV Darmstadt 98 about 1.0. That points to 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.35. Our bold bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win and both score at 2.63.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	1. FC Nürnberg	Darmstadt
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	3
Draws	7	6
Losses	4	11
Goals scored	38	21
Goals conceded	25	38
Scored per game	1.9	1.1
Conceded per game	1.3	1.9
Home record	6W 1D 3L	3W 4D 3L
Away record	3W 6D 1L	0W 2D 8L
Clean sheets	25%	10%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 3.5 goals	50%	2.00
Both teams to score	59%	1.69
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw	89%	1.13
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw	27%	3.66
1. FC Nürnberg to win and Over 2.5	57%	1.75
SV Darmstadt 98 to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.91
1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet	37%	2.70
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet	7%	14.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-09.1%

2-19.1%

3-08.2%

3-18.1%

1-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Our prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 is 1. FC Nürnberg to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is 1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect 1. FC Nürnberg to score 2.7 goals and SV Darmstadt 98 1.0.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of 1. FC Nürnberg last 20 games and 12 of SV Darmstadt 98 last 20.

How are 1. FC Nürnberg playing?

How are SV Darmstadt 98 playing?

What happened when 1. FC Nürnberg and SV Darmstadt 98 last met?

It ended SV Darmstadt 98 2, 1. FC Nürnberg 0. In the last 1 meeting 1. FC Nürnberg won 0 and SV Darmstadt 98 won 1.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Nürnberg vs SV Darmstadt 98?

1. FC Nürnberg to win at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in 1. FC Nürnberg against Darmstadt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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