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Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne
BundesligaSun 1 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne prediction

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

1. FC Union BerlinHome
1.65 : 1.09
expected goals
FC CologneAway
50%Union Berlin
26%Draw
24%Cologne
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne is 1. FC Union Berlin to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
1. FC Union Berlin to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
1. FC Union Berlin 1.6, FC Cologne 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Union Berlin to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives 1. FC Union Berlin 50%, the draw 26% and FC Cologne 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    1. FC Union Berlin took 4 points from their last 5 games and FC Cologne took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    1. FC Union Berlin won 3 of their last 11 games at home. FC Cologne won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    1. FC Union Berlin score 1.2 goals a game and let in 2.1. FC Cologne score 1.4 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of 1. FC Union Berlin games and 15 of FC Cologne games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 and FC Cologne won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended 1. FC Union Berlin 2, FC Cologne 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Union Berlinrecent form-3%
  • Colognerecent form-1%
Union Berlin form D W L L LCologne form D W L D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne: 1. FC Union Berlin are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Union Berlin host FC Cologne in the Bundesliga on Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Our prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne is 1. FC Union Berlin to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

1. FC Union Berlin form

1. FC Union Berlin have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

FC Cologne form

FC Cologne have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. 1. FC Union Berlin won 1, FC Cologne won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Union Berlin 2, FC Cologne 2.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Union Berlin to score about 1.6 goals and FC Cologne about 1.1. That points to 1. FC Union Berlin to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is 1. FC Union Berlin to win and Over 2.5 at 3.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Union BerlinCologne
Games played2020
Wins53
Draws57
Losses1010
Goals scored2428
Goals conceded4242
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game2.12.1
Home record3W 5D 3L3W 3D 4L
Away record2W 0D 7L0W 4D 6L
Clean sheets25%0%
Both teams scored55%90%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.38
Both teams to score54%1.84
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw76%1.32
FC Cologne or Draw50%1.99
1. FC Union Berlin to win and Over 2.531%3.22
FC Cologne to win and Over 2.514%7.01
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet34%2.98
FC Cologne clean sheet19%5.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
1-09.9%
2-19.6%
2-08.8%
0-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne?

Our prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne is 1. FC Union Berlin to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect 1. FC Union Berlin to score 1.6 goals and FC Cologne 1.1.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of 1. FC Union Berlin last 20 games and 18 of FC Cologne last 20.

How are 1. FC Union Berlin playing?

1. FC Union Berlin have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are FC Cologne playing?

FC Cologne have 3 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when 1. FC Union Berlin and FC Cologne last met?

It ended 1. FC Union Berlin 2, FC Cologne 2. In the last 2 meetings 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 and FC Cologne won 0.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Union Berlin against Cologne. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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