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Predictions › Germany › 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
BundesligaSat 21 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

1. FC Union BerlinHome
1.26 : 1.90
expected goals
RB LeipzigAway
25%Union Berlin
24%Draw
52%RB Leipzig
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig is RB Leipzig to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
RB Leipzig to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
1. FC Union Berlin 1.3, RB Leipzig 1.9
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives 1. FC Union Berlin 25%, the draw 24% and RB Leipzig 52%. The bookmakers agree and make RB Leipzig the favourite at 1.53.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    1. FC Union Berlin took 6 points from their last 5 games and RB Leipzig took 9 from 5. RB Leipzig come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    1. FC Union Berlin won 2 of their last 10 games at home. RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    1. FC Union Berlin score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.1. RB Leipzig score 2.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of 1. FC Union Berlin games and 16 of RB Leipzig games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 and RB Leipzig won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended RB Leipzig 3, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Union Berlinrecent form-3%
  • RB Leipzigrecent form+3%
Union Berlin form L D L D DRB Leipzig form D L W W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

1. FC Union Berlin host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Our prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig is RB Leipzig to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

1. FC Union Berlin form

1. FC Union Berlin have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

RB Leipzig form

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. 1. FC Union Berlin won 1, RB Leipzig won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished RB Leipzig 3, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.

Our call

We expect 1. FC Union Berlin to score about 1.3 goals and RB Leipzig about 1.9. That points to RB Leipzig to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.5 at 2.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Union BerlinRB Leipzig
Games played2020
Wins412
Draws60
Losses108
Goals scored2245
Goals conceded4236
Scored per game1.12.3
Conceded per game2.11.8
Home record2W 5D 3L9W 0D 1L
Away record2W 1D 7L3W 0D 7L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
1. FC Union Berlin to win24%4.184.70+12.5%
A Draw23%4.374.20-3.8%
RB Leipzig to win48%2.091.53-26.9%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.422.05-15.2%
Under 3.5 goals52%1.931.67-13.9%
1. FC Union Berlin +1.560%1.661.49-10.6%
RB Leipzig -1.536%2.802.30-17.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.57
Both teams to score62%1.63
1. FC Union Berlin or Draw48%2.08
RB Leipzig or Draw75%1.33
1. FC Union Berlin to win and Over 2.516%6.07
RB Leipzig to win and Over 2.537%2.72
1. FC Union Berlin clean sheet15%6.71
RB Leipzig clean sheet28%3.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-29.7%
0-27.7%
0-17.5%
2-16.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Arsenal Eye RB Leipzig Winger Antonio Nusa Ahead of January

Arsenal are monitoring RB Leipzig winger Antonio Nusa, while Newcastle United and Manchester United target Ivan Toney ahead of the January transfer window.

6 Nov 2026
Champions League

Real Madrid Beat Leipzig 4-1 as Diomande and Mbappe Shine

Yan Diomande and Kylian Mbappe scored fine goals as Real Madrid beat Leipzig 4-1, though Vinicius Junior faced whistles from the home crowd.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Our prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig is RB Leipzig to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect 1. FC Union Berlin to score 1.3 goals and RB Leipzig 1.9.

Will both teams score in 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of 1. FC Union Berlin last 20 games and 12 of RB Leipzig last 20.

How are 1. FC Union Berlin playing?

1. FC Union Berlin have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, W, newest first.

How are RB Leipzig playing?

RB Leipzig have 12 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when 1. FC Union Berlin and RB Leipzig last met?

It ended RB Leipzig 3, 1. FC Union Berlin 1. In the last 2 meetings 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 and RB Leipzig won 1.

What is the best bet for 1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Union Berlin against RB Leipzig. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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