Predictions › Norway › Aalesund vs Rosenborg

EliteserienSun 22 Nov, 16:00 Norway time

Aalesund vs Rosenborg prediction

Color Line Stadium

AalesundHome

1.36 : 2.42

expected goals

RosenborgAway

20%Aalesund

20%Draw

60%Rosenborg

Eagle safe pickRosenborg or Draw

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aalesund vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Rosenborg or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction: Rosenborg to win
Chance: 60%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: Aalesund 1.4, Rosenborg 2.4
Best bet: Rosenborg or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score: 68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rosenborg or Draw

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rosenborg to win and both score

36% chanceFair price 2.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Aalesund 20%, the draw 20% and Rosenborg 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Rosenborg the favourite at 1.63.
2
Recent form
Aalesund took 3 points from their last 5 games and Rosenborg took 13 from 5. Rosenborg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Aalesund won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Rosenborg won 6 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Aalesund score 1.8 goals a game and let in 2.3. Rosenborg score 2.5 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Aalesund games and 16 of Rosenborg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Aalesund won 1 and Rosenborg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosenborg 2, Aalesund 3.
6
The safest bet
Rosenborg or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Aalesundrecent form-4%
Rosenborgrecent form+6%

Aalesund form L L L W LRosenborg form W W W W DHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aalesund vs Rosenborg: Rosenborg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aalesund host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Sun 22 Nov, 16:00 at Color Line Stadium. Our prediction for Aalesund vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Rosenborg or Draw at 1.25.

Aalesund form

Aalesund have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 45 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Rosenborg form

Rosenborg have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Aalesund won 1, Rosenborg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosenborg 2, Aalesund 3.

Our call

We expect Aalesund to score about 1.4 goals and Rosenborg about 2.4. That points to Rosenborg to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Rosenborg or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is Rosenborg to win and both score at 2.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Aalesund	Rosenborg
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	13
Draws	6	2
Losses	9	5
Goals scored	36	50
Goals conceded	45	24
Scored per game	1.8	2.5
Conceded per game	2.3	1.2
Home record	2W 4D 3L	7W 2D 1L
Away record	3W 2D 6L	6W 0D 4L
Clean sheets	10%	45%
Both teams scored	85%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Aalesund to win	19%	5.24	4.20	-19.8%
A Draw	19%	5.30	4.40	-17.0%
Rosenborg to win	55%	1.81	1.63	-10.4%
Over 3.5 goals	48%	2.08	1.77	-14.9%
Under 3.5 goals	45%	2.22	1.91	-13.9%
Aalesund +0.5	40%	2.49	2.15	-13.8%
Rosenborg -0.5	53%	1.88	1.57	-16.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.12
Over 2.5 goals	73%	1.38
Over 3.5 goals	52%	1.92
Both teams to score	68%	1.47
Aalesund or Draw	40%	2.53
Rosenborg or Draw	80%	1.25
Aalesund to win and Over 2.5	15%	6.62
Rosenborg to win and Over 2.5	49%	2.06
Aalesund clean sheet	9%	11.22
Rosenborg clean sheet	26%	3.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.1%

1-18.0%

1-37.3%

0-26.7%

2-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aalesund vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction for Aalesund vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Rosenborg or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Aalesund vs Rosenborg?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect Aalesund to score 1.4 goals and Rosenborg 2.4.

Will both teams score in Aalesund vs Rosenborg?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Aalesund last 20 games and 9 of Rosenborg last 20.

How are Aalesund playing?

How are Rosenborg playing?

What happened when Aalesund and Rosenborg last met?

It ended Rosenborg 2, Aalesund 3. In the last 1 meeting Aalesund won 1 and Rosenborg won 0.

What is the best bet for Aalesund vs Rosenborg?

Rosenborg or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aalesund against Rosenborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.