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Predictions › United Kingdom › Aberdeen vs Hibernian
Scottish PremiershipSat 7 Nov, 17:45 United Kingdom time

Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction

Pittodrie Stadium

AberdeenHome
1.11 : 1.01
expected goals
HibernianAway
37%Aberdeen
31%Draw
32%Hibernian
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/5

Quick answer

Our prediction for Aberdeen vs Hibernian is Aberdeen to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

Prediction
Aberdeen to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Aberdeen 1.1, Hibernian 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/5
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1/52 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Aberdeen 37%, the draw 31% and Hibernian 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Aberdeen took 4 points from their last 5 games and Hibernian took 2 from 5. Aberdeen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Aberdeen won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Hibernian won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Aberdeen score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Hibernian score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Aberdeen games and 12 of Hibernian games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Aberdeen won 1 and Hibernian won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Hibernian 1, Aberdeen 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Aberdeenrecent form-1%
  • Hibernianrecent form-4%
  • Aberdeenrest between games-5%
  • Hibernianrest between games-5%
Aberdeen form D L W L DHibernian form D L L L DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Aberdeen vs Hibernian: Aberdeen shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Aberdeen host Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 7 Nov, 17:45 at Pittodrie Stadium. Our prediction for Aberdeen vs Hibernian is Aberdeen to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

Aberdeen form

Aberdeen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Hibernian form

Hibernian have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Aberdeen won 1, Hibernian won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Hibernian 1, Aberdeen 1.

Our call

We expect Aberdeen to score about 1.1 goals and Hibernian about 1.0. That points to Aberdeen to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AberdeenHibernian
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws44
Losses1011
Goals scored2321
Goals conceded2826
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record5W 2D 4L1W 2D 8L
Away record1W 2D 6L4W 2D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%4/7
Over 2.5 goals36%9/5
Over 3.5 goals17%5/1
Both teams to score43%5/4
Aberdeen or Draw68%4/9
Hibernian or Draw63%4/7
Aberdeen to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Hibernian to win and Over 2.514%6/1
Aberdeen clean sheet36%7/4
Hibernian clean sheet33%2/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.8%
1-012.5%
0-111.3%
2-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Our prediction for Aberdeen vs Hibernian is Aberdeen to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/5.

What is the score prediction for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Aberdeen to score 1.1 goals and Hibernian 1.0.

Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Aberdeen last 20 games and 13 of Hibernian last 20.

How are Aberdeen playing?

Aberdeen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Hibernian playing?

Hibernian have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Aberdeen and Hibernian last met?

It ended Hibernian 1, Aberdeen 1. In the last 4 meetings Aberdeen won 1 and Hibernian won 2.

What is the best bet for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/5, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Aberdeen against Hibernian. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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