EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Abha vs Al Faisaly
Saudi Pro LeagueSun 11 Oct, 15:25 Saudi Arabia time

Abha vs Al Faisaly prediction

Damac Club Stadium

AbhaHome
1.39 : 1.22
expected goals
AFAl FaisalyAway
40%Abha
28%Draw
32%Al Faisaly
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Abha vs Al Faisaly is Abha to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Abha to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Abha 1.4, Al Faisaly 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.331 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Abha 40%, the draw 28% and Al Faisaly 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Abha took 2 points from their last 5 games and Al Faisaly took 3 from 5. Al Faisaly come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Abha won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Al Faisaly won 0 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Abha score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Faisaly score 0.7 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Abha games and 3 of Al Faisaly games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Abharecent form-4%
  • Al Faisalyrecent form-3%
Abha form D L L L DAl Faisaly form L D D L DHome edge in this league 13% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Abha vs Al Faisaly: Abha shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Abha host Al Faisaly in the Saudi Pro League on Sun 11 Oct, 15:25 at Damac Club Stadium. Our prediction for Abha vs Al Faisaly is Abha to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Abha form

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Al Faisaly form

Al Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Abha to score about 1.4 goals and Al Faisaly about 1.2. That points to Abha to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 7 games in all competitions.

AbhaAl Faisaly
Games played77
Wins00
Draws23
Losses54
Goals scored55
Goals conceded1313
Scored per game0.70.7
Conceded per game1.91.9
Home record0W 1D 2L0W 2D 2L
Away record0W 1D 3L0W 1D 2L
Clean sheets14%29%
Both teams scored57%57%
Over 2.5 goals57%43%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.07
Over 3.5 goals27%3.77
Both teams to score54%1.87
Abha or Draw68%1.47
Al Faisaly or Draw60%1.67
Abha to win and Over 2.523%4.26
Al Faisaly to win and Over 2.518%5.42
Abha clean sheet30%3.38
Al Faisaly clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-09.5%
2-18.7%
0-18.2%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Our prediction for Abha vs Al Faisaly is Abha to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Abha vs Al Faisaly?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Abha to score 1.4 goals and Al Faisaly 1.2.

Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Abha last 7 games and 4 of Al Faisaly last 7.

How are Abha playing?

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Al Faisaly playing?

Al Faisaly have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Abha vs Al Faisaly?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Abha against Al Faisaly. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.