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Predictions › Saudi Arabia › Abha vs Al Shabab
Saudi Pro LeagueThu 5 Nov, 15:10 Saudi Arabia time

Abha vs Al Shabab prediction

Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium

AbhaHome
0.97 : 1.23
expected goals
Al ShababAway
28%Abha
30%Draw
41%Al Shabab
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Abha vs Al Shabab is Al Shabab to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Al Shabab to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Abha 1.0, Al Shabab 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Abha 28%, the draw 30% and Al Shabab 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Abha took 1 point from their last 5 games and Al Shabab took 8 from 5. Al Shabab come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Abha won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Al Shabab won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Abha score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.9. Al Shabab score 1.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Abha games and 11 of Al Shabab games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Abharecent form-4%
  • Abharest between games-2%
Abha form D L D L LAl Shabab form D D W D LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Abha vs Al Shabab: Al Shabab shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Abha host Al Shabab in the Saudi Pro League on Thu 5 Nov, 15:10 at Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium. Our prediction for Abha vs Al Shabab is Al Shabab to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Abha form

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 9 games, with 6 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Al Shabab form

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Abha to score about 1.0 goals and Al Shabab about 1.2. That points to Al Shabab to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AbhaAl Shabab
Games played920
Wins04
Draws29
Losses77
Goals scored628
Goals conceded1733
Scored per game0.71.4
Conceded per game1.91.6
Home record0W 1D 2L3W 4D 4L
Away record0W 1D 5L1W 5D 3L
Clean sheets11%20%
Both teams scored56%70%
Over 2.5 goals56%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.65
Over 3.5 goals18%5.54
Both teams to score45%2.24
Abha or Draw59%1.71
Al Shabab or Draw72%1.39
Abha to win and Over 2.513%7.67
Al Shabab to win and Over 2.520%4.96
Abha clean sheet29%3.43
Al Shabab clean sheet38%2.63

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
0-112.9%
0-011.9%
1-09.9%
0-28.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Abha vs Al Shabab?

Our prediction for Abha vs Al Shabab is Al Shabab to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Abha vs Al Shabab?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Abha to score 1.0 goals and Al Shabab 1.2.

Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Shabab?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Abha last 9 games and 14 of Al Shabab last 20.

How are Abha playing?

Abha have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 9 games, with 6 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Al Shabab playing?

Al Shabab have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Abha vs Al Shabab?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Abha against Al Shabab. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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