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Predictions › Denmark › AC Horsens vs Randers FC
Danish SuperligaFri 16 Oct, 17:00 Denmark time

AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction

Nordstern Arena Horsens

AC HorsensHome
1.56 : 1.34
expected goals
Randers FCAway
42%AC Horsens
26%Draw
32%Randers
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for AC Horsens vs Randers FC is AC Horsens to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
AC Horsens to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AC Horsens 1.6, Randers FC 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AC Horsens to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AC Horsens 42%, the draw 26% and Randers FC 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AC Horsens took 7 points from their last 5 games and Randers FC took 6 from 5. AC Horsens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AC Horsens won 1 of their last 5 games at home. Randers FC won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AC Horsens score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.8. Randers FC score 1.2 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of AC Horsens games and 13 of Randers FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Randersrecent form-1%
AC Horsens form D L W L WRanders form L L W W LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: AC Horsens shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AC Horsens host Randers FC in the Danish Superliga on Fri 16 Oct, 17:00 at Nordstern Arena Horsens. Our prediction for AC Horsens vs Randers FC is AC Horsens to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

AC Horsens form

AC Horsens have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Randers FC form

Randers FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect AC Horsens to score about 1.6 goals and Randers FC about 1.3. That points to AC Horsens to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is AC Horsens to win and Over 2.5 at 3.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AC HorsensRanders
Games played920
Wins36
Draws24
Losses410
Goals scored1524
Goals conceded1635
Scored per game1.71.2
Conceded per game1.81.8
Home record1W 2D 2L3W 3D 4L
Away record2W 0D 2L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored78%50%
Over 2.5 goals67%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Both teams to score59%1.69
AC Horsens or Draw68%1.47
Randers FC or Draw58%1.72
AC Horsens to win and Over 2.527%3.66
Randers FC to win and Over 2.521%4.86
AC Horsens clean sheet26%3.83
Randers FC clean sheet21%4.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.0%
1-07.9%
1-27.7%
2-06.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

Our prediction for AC Horsens vs Randers FC is AC Horsens to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect AC Horsens to score 1.6 goals and Randers FC 1.3.

Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of AC Horsens last 9 games and 10 of Randers FC last 20.

How are AC Horsens playing?

AC Horsens have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 9 games, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Randers FC playing?

Randers FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AC Horsens against Randers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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