Predictions › Denmark › AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold

Danish SuperligaSun 25 Oct, 15:00 Denmark time

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold prediction

Nordstern Arena Horsens

AC HorsensHome

1.75 : 1.20

expected goals

Sønderjyske FodboldAway

50%AC Horsens

25%Draw

25%Sønderjyske

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is AC Horsens to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction: AC Horsens to win
Chance: 50%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: AC Horsens 1.8, Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score: 58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.272 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

AC Horsens to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives AC Horsens 50%, the draw 25% and Sønderjyske Fodbold 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
AC Horsens took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sønderjyske Fodbold took 4 from 5. AC Horsens come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
AC Horsens won 1 of their last 5 games at home. Sønderjyske Fodbold won 1 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
AC Horsens score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Sønderjyske Fodbold score 1.1 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of AC Horsens games and 13 of Sønderjyske Fodbold games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, AC Horsens won 1 and Sønderjyske Fodbold won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, AC Horsens 5.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

AC Horsensrecent form-1%
Sønderjyskerecent form-1%

AC Horsens form D D L W LSønderjyske form D W D L LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold: AC Horsens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AC Horsens host Sønderjyske Fodbold in the Danish Superliga on Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 at Nordstern Arena Horsens. Our prediction for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is AC Horsens to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

AC Horsens form

AC Horsens have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 10 games, with 18 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Sønderjyske Fodbold form

Sønderjyske Fodbold have 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. AC Horsens won 1, Sønderjyske Fodbold won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, AC Horsens 5.

Our call

We expect AC Horsens to score about 1.8 goals and Sønderjyske Fodbold about 1.2. That points to AC Horsens to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is AC Horsens to win and Over 2.5 at 3.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	AC Horsens	Sønderjyske
Games played	10	20
Wins	3	3
Draws	3	4
Losses	4	13
Goals scored	18	22
Goals conceded	19	45
Scored per game	1.8	1.1
Conceded per game	1.9	2.3
Home record	1W 2D 2L	2W 2D 6L
Away record	2W 1D 2L	1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets	0%	15%
Both teams scored	80%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	56%	1.77
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.94
Both teams to score	58%	1.71
AC Horsens or Draw	75%	1.34
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Draw	50%	1.99
AC Horsens to win and Over 2.5	33%	3.02
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.22
AC Horsens clean sheet	30%	3.31
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet	17%	5.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.7%

2-19.6%

1-08.5%

2-08.0%

1-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Our prediction for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold is AC Horsens to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect AC Horsens to score 1.8 goals and Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.2.

Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of AC Horsens last 10 games and 11 of Sønderjyske Fodbold last 20.

How are AC Horsens playing?

How are Sønderjyske Fodbold playing?

What happened when AC Horsens and Sønderjyske Fodbold last met?

It ended Sønderjyske Fodbold 2, AC Horsens 5. In the last 1 meeting AC Horsens won 1 and Sønderjyske Fodbold won 0.

What is the best bet for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske Fodbold?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AC Horsens against Sønderjyske. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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