EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Portugal › Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave
Primeira LigaSun 1 Nov, 18:00 Portugal time

Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave prediction

Estádio do Fontelo

Académico de ViseuHome
1.38 : 0.94
expected goals
Rio AveAway
46%Académico
29%Draw
25%Rio Ave
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave is Académico de Viseu to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Académico de Viseu to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Académico de Viseu 1.4, Rio Ave 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Académico de Viseu 46%, the draw 29% and Rio Ave 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Académico de Viseu took 12 points from their last 5 games and Rio Ave took 4 from 5. Académico de Viseu come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Académico de Viseu won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Rio Ave won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Académico de Viseu score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Rio Ave score 1.0 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Académico de Viseu games and 9 of Rio Ave games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Académicorecent form+6%
  • Rio Averecent form-1%
Académico form D W W W WRio Ave form D W L D LHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave: Académico de Viseu are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Académico de Viseu host Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 at Estádio do Fontelo. Our prediction for Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave is Académico de Viseu to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Académico de Viseu form

Académico de Viseu have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Rio Ave form

Rio Ave have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Académico de Viseu to score about 1.4 goals and Rio Ave about 0.9. That points to Académico de Viseu to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AcadémicoRio Ave
Games played820
Wins46
Draws25
Losses29
Goals scored1120
Goals conceded1031
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record2W 0D 2L2W 4D 4L
Away record2W 2D 0L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.5 goals63%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.45
Over 3.5 goals20%4.89
Both teams to score46%2.16
Académico de Viseu or Draw75%1.33
Rio Ave or Draw54%1.87
Académico de Viseu to win and Over 2.524%4.13
Rio Ave to win and Over 2.512%8.38
Académico de Viseu clean sheet39%2.55
Rio Ave clean sheet25%3.98

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-012.8%
0-010.6%
2-09.4%
2-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave?

Our prediction for Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave is Académico de Viseu to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Académico de Viseu to score 1.4 goals and Rio Ave 0.9.

Will both teams score in Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Académico de Viseu last 8 games and 8 of Rio Ave last 20.

How are Académico de Viseu playing?

Académico de Viseu have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 11 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Rio Ave playing?

Rio Ave have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Académico de Viseu vs Rio Ave?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Académico against Rio Ave. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.