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Predictions › Netherlands › ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen
EredivisieSat 24 Oct, 19:00 Netherlands time

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen prediction

ADO Den Haag Stadium

ADO Den HaagHome
1.52 : 2.06
expected goals
HeerenveenAway
28%ADO Den Haag
22%Draw
50%Heerenveen
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.16

Quick answer

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen is Heerenveen to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16.

Prediction
Heerenveen to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
ADO Den Haag 1.5, Heerenveen 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.16
Both teams to score
69%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.162 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Heerenveen to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives ADO Den Haag 28%, the draw 22% and Heerenveen 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    ADO Den Haag took 3 points from their last 5 games and Heerenveen took 5 from 5. Heerenveen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    ADO Den Haag won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Heerenveen won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    ADO Den Haag score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.4. Heerenveen score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of ADO Den Haag games and 13 of Heerenveen games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • ADO Den Haagrecent form-3%
ADO Den Haag form D D L L DHeerenveen form D W D L DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen: Heerenveen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

ADO Den Haag host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 at ADO Den Haag Stadium. Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen is Heerenveen to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16.

ADO Den Haag form

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Heerenveen form

Heerenveen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect ADO Den Haag to score about 1.5 goals and Heerenveen about 2.1. That points to Heerenveen to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16. Our bold bet is Heerenveen to win and Over 2.5 at 2.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ADO Den HaagHeerenveen
Games played820
Wins08
Draws35
Losses57
Goals scored931
Goals conceded1928
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game2.41.4
Home record0W 1D 2L5W 2D 2L
Away record0W 2D 3L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets0%30%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals63%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals69%1.44
Over 3.5 goals48%2.08
Both teams to score69%1.46
ADO Den Haag or Draw50%1.99
Heerenveen or Draw72%1.39
ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.521%4.74
Heerenveen to win and Over 2.539%2.59
ADO Den Haag clean sheet13%7.85
Heerenveen clean sheet22%4.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.2%
1-29.0%
2-26.8%
2-16.6%
1-36.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen is Heerenveen to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.16.

What is the score prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-2. We expect ADO Den Haag to score 1.5 goals and Heerenveen 2.1.

Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

Both teams to score has a 69% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of ADO Den Haag last 8 games and 10 of Heerenveen last 20.

How are ADO Den Haag playing?

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 8 games, with 9 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Heerenveen playing?

Heerenveen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.16, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in ADO Den Haag against Heerenveen. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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