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Predictions › Netherlands › ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven
EredivisieSat 17 Oct, 14:30 Netherlands time

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

ADO Den Haag Stadium

ADO Den HaagHome
1.23 : 3.16
expected goals
PSV EindhovenAway
11%ADO Den Haag
14%Draw
75%PSV
Eagle safe pickPSV Eindhoven draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is PSV Eindhoven draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
PSV Eindhoven to win
Chance
75%
Most likely score
1-3
Expected goals
ADO Den Haag 1.2, PSV Eindhoven 3.2
Best bet
PSV Eindhoven draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

PSV Eindhoven draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

PSV Eindhoven to win and both score
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives ADO Den Haag 11%, the draw 14% and PSV Eindhoven 75%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    ADO Den Haag took 2 points from their last 5 games and PSV Eindhoven took 10 from 5. PSV Eindhoven come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    ADO Den Haag won 0 of their last 3 games at home. PSV Eindhoven won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    ADO Den Haag score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.4. PSV Eindhoven score 3.0 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of ADO Den Haag games and 18 of PSV Eindhoven games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    PSV Eindhoven draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • ADO Den Haagrecent form-4%
  • PSVrecent form+3%
ADO Den Haag form D L L D LPSV form L W D W WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

ADO Den Haag host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 at ADO Den Haag Stadium. Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is PSV Eindhoven draw no bet at 1.18.

ADO Den Haag form

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

PSV Eindhoven form

PSV Eindhoven have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect ADO Den Haag to score about 1.2 goals and PSV Eindhoven about 3.2. That points to PSV Eindhoven to win, with 1-3 the most likely score. Our safest bet is PSV Eindhoven draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is PSV Eindhoven to win and both score at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ADO Den HaagPSV
Games played720
Wins013
Draws23
Losses54
Goals scored760
Goals conceded1730
Scored per game1.03.0
Conceded per game2.41.5
Home record0W 1D 2L7W 2D 1L
Away record0W 1D 3L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets0%5%
Both teams scored71%95%
Over 2.5 goals57%90%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%1.07
Over 2.5 goals81%1.23
Over 3.5 goals64%1.57
Both teams to score68%1.47
ADO Den Haag or Draw25%4.01
PSV Eindhoven or Draw89%1.12
ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.59%11.29
PSV Eindhoven to win and Over 2.565%1.53
ADO Den Haag clean sheet4%23.51
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet29%3.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-38.0%
1-27.6%
0-36.5%
1-46.3%
0-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven is PSV Eindhoven to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is PSV Eindhoven draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

1-3 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-3. We expect ADO Den Haag to score 1.2 goals and PSV Eindhoven 3.2.

Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of ADO Den Haag last 7 games and 19 of PSV Eindhoven last 20.

How are ADO Den Haag playing?

ADO Den Haag have 0 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 7 games, with 7 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are PSV Eindhoven playing?

PSV Eindhoven have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in ADO Den Haag against PSV. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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