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Predictions › Netherlands › ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam
EredivisieSat 7 Nov, 17:45 Netherlands time

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

ADO Den Haag Stadium

ADO Den HaagHome
2.10 : 1.76
expected goals
Sparta RotterdamAway
46%ADO Den Haag
22%Draw
33%Sparta
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is ADO Den Haag to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
ADO Den Haag to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
ADO Den Haag 2.1, Sparta Rotterdam 1.8
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives ADO Den Haag 46%, the draw 22% and Sparta Rotterdam 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    ADO Den Haag took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sparta Rotterdam took 4 from 5. ADO Den Haag come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    ADO Den Haag won 1 of their last 5 games at home. Sparta Rotterdam won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    ADO Den Haag score 1.3 goals a game and let in 2.3. Sparta Rotterdam score 1.3 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of ADO Den Haag games and 15 of Sparta Rotterdam games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spartarecent form-1%
ADO Den Haag form D L W D DSparta form D L W D LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: ADO Den Haag are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

ADO Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie on Sat 7 Nov, 17:45 at ADO Den Haag Stadium. Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is ADO Den Haag to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

ADO Den Haag form

ADO Den Haag have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 10 games, with 13 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Sparta Rotterdam form

Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect ADO Den Haag to score about 2.1 goals and Sparta Rotterdam about 1.8. That points to ADO Den Haag to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.5 at 2.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ADO Den HaagSparta
Games played1020
Wins13
Draws36
Losses611
Goals scored1326
Goals conceded2346
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game2.32.3
Home record1W 1D 3L2W 4D 5L
Away record0W 2D 3L1W 2D 6L
Clean sheets0%10%
Both teams scored80%65%
Over 2.5 goals70%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.35
Over 3.5 goals54%1.86
Both teams to score73%1.37
ADO Den Haag or Draw67%1.48
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw54%1.84
ADO Den Haag to win and Over 2.537%2.70
Sparta Rotterdam to win and Over 2.526%3.84
ADO Den Haag clean sheet17%5.82
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet12%8.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.3%
2-18.2%
2-27.2%
1-26.9%
3-15.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is ADO Den Haag to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect ADO Den Haag to score 2.1 goals and Sparta Rotterdam 1.8.

Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of ADO Den Haag last 10 games and 13 of Sparta Rotterdam last 20.

How are ADO Den Haag playing?

ADO Den Haag have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 10 games, with 13 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Sparta Rotterdam playing?

Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 46 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in ADO Den Haag against Sparta. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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