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Predictions › Peru › ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1Wed 28 Oct, 16:00 Peru time

ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua prediction

Estadio Unión Tarma

ADTHome
1.25 : 0.62
expected goals
Deportivo MoqueguaAway
51%ADT
31%Draw
18%Moquegua
Eagle safe pickADT or Draw
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua is ADT to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is ADT or Draw at 1.22.

Prediction
ADT to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
ADT 1.3, Deportivo Moquegua 0.6
Best bet
ADT or Draw at 1.22
Both teams to score
34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

ADT or Draw
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
19% chanceFair price 5.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives ADT 51%, the draw 31% and Deportivo Moquegua 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    ADT took 4 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Moquegua took 3 from 5. ADT come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    ADT won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Deportivo Moquegua won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    ADT score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Deportivo Moquegua score 0.8 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of ADT games and 9 of Deportivo Moquegua games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, ADT won 0 and Deportivo Moquegua won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Moquegua 2, ADT 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    ADT or Draw has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • ADTrecent form-1%
  • Moqueguarecent form-6%
  • ADTrest between games-2%
  • Moqueguarest between games-5%
ADT form D D W L LMoquegua form D L L L LHome edge in this league 44% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua: ADT are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

ADT host Deportivo Moquegua in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Wed 28 Oct, 16:00 at Estadio Unión Tarma. Our prediction for ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua is ADT to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is ADT or Draw at 1.22.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Deportivo Moquegua form

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. ADT won 0, Deportivo Moquegua won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Moquegua 2, ADT 2.

Our call

We expect ADT to score about 1.3 goals and Deportivo Moquegua about 0.6. That points to ADT to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is ADT or Draw at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ADTMoquegua
Games played2020
Wins44
Draws56
Losses1110
Goals scored2117
Goals conceded3228
Scored per game1.10.8
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record4W 2D 5L2W 5D 3L
Away record0W 3D 6L2W 1D 7L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored55%40%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals56%1.77
Over 2.5 goals29%3.47
Over 3.5 goals12%8.32
Both teams to score34%2.98
ADT or Draw82%1.21
Deportivo Moquegua or Draw49%2.05
ADT to win and Over 2.520%4.89
Deportivo Moquegua to win and Over 2.56%17.05
ADT clean sheet54%1.85
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet29%3.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-018.6%
0-016.1%
1-112.6%
2-012.1%
0-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Our prediction for ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua is ADT to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is ADT or Draw at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect ADT to score 1.3 goals and Deportivo Moquegua 0.6.

Will both teams score in ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of ADT last 20 games and 8 of Deportivo Moquegua last 20.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Deportivo Moquegua playing?

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when ADT and Deportivo Moquegua last met?

It ended Deportivo Moquegua 2, ADT 2. In the last 1 meeting ADT won 0 and Deportivo Moquegua won 0.

What is the best bet for ADT vs Deportivo Moquegua?

ADT or Draw at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in ADT against Moquegua. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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