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Predictions › Peru › ADT vs FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

ADT vs FC Cajamarca prediction

Estadio Unión Tarma

ADTHome
1.39 : 1.52
expected goals
FC CajamarcaAway
34%ADT
26%Draw
40%Cajamarca
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for ADT vs FC Cajamarca is FC Cajamarca to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
FC Cajamarca to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
ADT 1.4, FC Cajamarca 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives ADT 34%, the draw 26% and FC Cajamarca 40%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    ADT took 3 points from their last 5 games and FC Cajamarca took 6 from 5. FC Cajamarca come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    ADT won 4 of their last 11 games at home. FC Cajamarca won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    ADT score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.7. FC Cajamarca score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of ADT games and 15 of FC Cajamarca games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, ADT won 0 and FC Cajamarca won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Cajamarca 2, ADT 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • ADTrecent form-4%
  • Cajamarcarecent form-1%
ADT form W L L L LCajamarca form L W L W LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

ADT vs FC Cajamarca: FC Cajamarca shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

ADT host FC Cajamarca in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Unión Tarma. Our prediction for ADT vs FC Cajamarca is FC Cajamarca to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

ADT form

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

FC Cajamarca form

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. ADT won 0, FC Cajamarca won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Cajamarca 2, ADT 2.

Our call

We expect ADT to score about 1.4 goals and FC Cajamarca about 1.5. That points to FC Cajamarca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ADTCajamarca
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws54
Losses1110
Goals scored2331
Goals conceded3439
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game1.71.9
Home record4W 2D 5L2W 3D 6L
Away record0W 3D 6L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%0%
Both teams scored60%80%
Over 2.5 goals55%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.79
Over 3.5 goals33%3.00
Both teams to score59%1.68
ADT or Draw60%1.67
FC Cajamarca or Draw66%1.51
ADT to win and Over 2.522%4.57
FC Cajamarca to win and Over 2.526%3.83
ADT clean sheet22%4.60
FC Cajamarca clean sheet25%4.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-28.8%
2-18.0%
0-17.6%
1-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

Our prediction for ADT vs FC Cajamarca is FC Cajamarca to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect ADT to score 1.4 goals and FC Cajamarca 1.5.

Will both teams score in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of ADT last 20 games and 16 of FC Cajamarca last 20.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are FC Cajamarca playing?

FC Cajamarca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when ADT and FC Cajamarca last met?

It ended FC Cajamarca 2, ADT 2. In the last 1 meeting ADT won 0 and FC Cajamarca won 0.

What is the best bet for ADT vs FC Cajamarca?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in ADT against Cajamarca. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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