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Predictions › Peru › ADT vs Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 Peru time

ADT vs Sporting Cristal prediction

Estadio Unión Tarma

ADTHome
1.30 : 1.17
expected goals
Sporting CristalAway
39%ADT
29%Draw
32%Sporting Cristal
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal is ADT to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
ADT to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
ADT 1.3, Sporting Cristal 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives ADT 39%, the draw 29% and Sporting Cristal 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    ADT took 8 points from their last 5 games and Sporting Cristal took 12 from 5. Sporting Cristal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    ADT won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Sporting Cristal won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    ADT score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.5. Sporting Cristal score 1.7 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of ADT games and 12 of Sporting Cristal games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, ADT won 1 and Sporting Cristal won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sporting Cristal 2, ADT 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sporting Cristalrecent form+6%
  • ADTrest between games-5%
ADT form D D L D WSporting Cristal form D W W W WHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

ADT vs Sporting Cristal: ADT shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

ADT host Sporting Cristal in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 at Estadio Unión Tarma. Our prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal is ADT to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

ADT form

ADT have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Sporting Cristal form

Sporting Cristal have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. ADT won 1, Sporting Cristal won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sporting Cristal 2, ADT 1.

Our call

We expect ADT to score about 1.3 goals and Sporting Cristal about 1.2. That points to ADT to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ADTSporting Cristal
Games played2020
Wins59
Draws52
Losses109
Goals scored2234
Goals conceded3030
Scored per game1.11.7
Conceded per game1.51.5
Home record5W 2D 4L7W 0D 1L
Away record0W 3D 6L2W 2D 8L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.23
Over 3.5 goals24%4.23
Both teams to score51%1.96
ADT or Draw68%1.48
Sporting Cristal or Draw61%1.64
ADT to win and Over 2.522%4.65
Sporting Cristal to win and Over 2.518%5.68
ADT clean sheet31%3.22
Sporting Cristal clean sheet27%3.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-010.2%
0-09.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Our prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal is ADT to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect ADT to score 1.3 goals and Sporting Cristal 1.2.

Will both teams score in ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of ADT last 20 games and 13 of Sporting Cristal last 20.

How are ADT playing?

ADT have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Sporting Cristal playing?

Sporting Cristal have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when ADT and Sporting Cristal last met?

It ended Sporting Cristal 2, ADT 1. In the last 2 meetings ADT won 1 and Sporting Cristal won 1.

What is the best bet for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in ADT against Sporting Cristal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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