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Predictions › Greece › AEK Athens vs Levadiakos
Greek Super LeagueSun 8 Nov, 15:00 Greece time

AEK Athens vs Levadiakos prediction

OPAP Arena

AEK AthensHome
2.66 : 0.42
expected goals
LevadiakosAway
84%AEK Athens
12%Draw
4%Levadiakos
Eagle safe pickAEK Athens to win
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos is AEK Athens to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.18.

Prediction
AEK Athens to win
Chance
84%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
AEK Athens 2.7, Levadiakos 0.4
Best bet
AEK Athens to win at 1.18
Both teams to score
32%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AEK Athens to win
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 2-0
16% chanceFair price 6.181 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AEK Athens 84%, the draw 12% and Levadiakos 4%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AEK Athens took 9 points from their last 5 games and Levadiakos took 3 from 5. AEK Athens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AEK Athens won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Levadiakos won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AEK Athens score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. Levadiakos score 0.7 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of AEK Athens games and 8 of Levadiakos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AEK Athens won 2 and Levadiakos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AEK Athens 4, Levadiakos 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AEK Athens to win has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Levadiakosrecent form-3%
AEK Athens form D L L W WLevadiakos form D D L L DHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AEK Athens vs Levadiakos: AEK Athens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AEK Athens host Levadiakos in the Greek Super League on Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 at OPAP Arena. Our prediction for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos is AEK Athens to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.18.

AEK Athens form

AEK Athens have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Levadiakos form

Levadiakos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AEK Athens won 2, Levadiakos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AEK Athens 4, Levadiakos 0.

Our call

We expect AEK Athens to score about 2.7 goals and Levadiakos about 0.4. That points to AEK Athens to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 2-0 at 6.18.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AEK AthensLevadiakos
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws55
Losses411
Goals scored3814
Goals conceded2033
Scored per game1.90.7
Conceded per game1.01.6
Home record9W 1D 1L3W 3D 4L
Away record2W 4D 3L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets45%30%
Both teams scored45%20%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.69
Both teams to score32%3.08
AEK Athens or Draw96%1.04
Levadiakos or Draw16%6.41
AEK Athens to win and Over 2.556%1.77
Levadiakos to win and Over 2.52%63.28
AEK Athens clean sheet65%1.53
Levadiakos clean sheet7%14.35

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-016.2%
3-014.4%
1-011.8%
4-09.6%
2-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?

Our prediction for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos is AEK Athens to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 1-0. We expect AEK Athens to score 2.7 goals and Levadiakos 0.4.

Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?

Both teams to score has a 32% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of AEK Athens last 20 games and 4 of Levadiakos last 20.

How are AEK Athens playing?

AEK Athens have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Levadiakos playing?

Levadiakos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when AEK Athens and Levadiakos last met?

It ended AEK Athens 4, Levadiakos 0. In the last 2 meetings AEK Athens won 2 and Levadiakos won 0.

What is the best bet for AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?

AEK Athens to win at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AEK Athens against Levadiakos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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