EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Greece › AEK Athens vs Panetolikos
Greek Super LeagueSat 24 Oct, 17:00 Greece time

AEK Athens vs Panetolikos prediction

OPAP Arena

AEK AthensHome
2.16 : 0.45
expected goals
PanetolikosAway
77%AEK Athens
17%Draw
6%Panetolikos
Eagle safe pickAEK Athens to win
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for AEK Athens vs Panetolikos is AEK Athens to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.32.

Prediction
AEK Athens to win
Chance
77%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
AEK Athens 2.2, Panetolikos 0.5
Best bet
AEK Athens to win at 1.32
Both teams to score
33%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

AEK Athens to win
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AEK Athens to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AEK Athens 77%, the draw 17% and Panetolikos 6%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AEK Athens took 13 points from their last 5 games and Panetolikos took 6 from 5. AEK Athens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AEK Athens won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Panetolikos won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AEK Athens score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.7. Panetolikos score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of AEK Athens games and 9 of Panetolikos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AEK Athens won 2 and Panetolikos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Panetolikos 0, AEK Athens 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    AEK Athens to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • AEK Athensrecent form+4%
AEK Athens form D W D W WPanetolikos form D L L W WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AEK Athens vs Panetolikos: AEK Athens are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AEK Athens host Panetolikos in the Greek Super League on Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 at OPAP Arena. Our prediction for AEK Athens vs Panetolikos is AEK Athens to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.32.

AEK Athens form

AEK Athens have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Panetolikos form

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AEK Athens won 2, Panetolikos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Panetolikos 0, AEK Athens 5.

Our call

We expect AEK Athens to score about 2.2 goals and Panetolikos about 0.5. That points to AEK Athens to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.32. Our bold bet is AEK Athens to win and Over 2.5 at 2.29.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AEK AthensPanetolikos
Games played2020
Wins126
Draws66
Losses28
Goals scored3821
Goals conceded1424
Scored per game1.91.1
Conceded per game0.71.2
Home record9W 1D 1L3W 3D 4L
Away record3W 5D 1L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets50%25%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.74
Both teams to score33%3.06
AEK Athens or Draw94%1.06
Panetolikos or Draw23%4.29
AEK Athens to win and Over 2.544%2.26
Panetolikos to win and Over 2.52%42.37
AEK Athens clean sheet64%1.57
Panetolikos clean sheet12%8.68

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-017.1%
1-015.4%
3-012.3%
2-17.8%
0-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?

Our prediction for AEK Athens vs Panetolikos is AEK Athens to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is AEK Athens to win at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 3-0. We expect AEK Athens to score 2.2 goals and Panetolikos 0.5.

Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?

Both teams to score has a 33% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of AEK Athens last 20 games and 11 of Panetolikos last 20.

How are AEK Athens playing?

AEK Athens have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 14 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Panetolikos playing?

Panetolikos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when AEK Athens and Panetolikos last met?

It ended Panetolikos 0, AEK Athens 5. In the last 2 meetings AEK Athens won 2 and Panetolikos won 0.

What is the best bet for AEK Athens vs Panetolikos?

AEK Athens to win at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in AEK Athens against Panetolikos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.