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Predictions › United Kingdom › AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest
Premier LeagueSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Vitality Stadium

AFC BournemouthHome
1.63 : 1.15
expected goals
Nottingham ForestAway
48%Bournemouth
26%Draw
26%Nottm Forest
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
AFC Bournemouth to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AFC Bournemouth 1.6, Nottingham Forest 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Bournemouth 48%, the draw 26% and Nottingham Forest 26%. The bookmakers agree and make AFC Bournemouth the favourite at Evens.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AFC Bournemouth took 15 points from their last 5 games and Nottingham Forest took 4 from 5. AFC Bournemouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AFC Bournemouth won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Nottingham Forest won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AFC Bournemouth score 2.0 goals a game and let in 0.9. Nottingham Forest score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of AFC Bournemouth games and 9 of Nottingham Forest games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AFC Bournemouth won 1 and Nottingham Forest won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Nottingham Forest 1, AFC Bournemouth 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bournemouthrecent form+6%
  • Nottm Forestrecent form-4%
Bournemouth form D W W W WNottm Forest form D L D L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: AFC Bournemouth are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AFC Bournemouth host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at Vitality Stadium. Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

AFC Bournemouth form

AFC Bournemouth have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Nottingham Forest form

Nottingham Forest have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AFC Bournemouth won 1, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Nottingham Forest 1, AFC Bournemouth 1.

Our call

We expect AFC Bournemouth to score about 1.6 goals and Nottingham Forest about 1.1. That points to AFC Bournemouth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.5 at 12/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BournemouthNottm Forest
Games played2020
Wins127
Draws55
Losses38
Goals scored4027
Goals conceded1826
Scored per game2.01.4
Conceded per game0.91.3
Home record7W 3D 1L4W 3D 4L
Away record5W 2D 2L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets45%20%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
AFC Bournemouth to win45%5/4Evens-10.2%
A Draw25%3/15/2-11.0%
Nottingham Forest to win26%3/15/2-8.8%
Over 2.5 goals48%11/104/5-13.9%
Under 2.5 goals45%6/510/11-13.7%
AFC Bournemouth -0.545%6/55/6-15.7%
Nottingham Forest +0.548%11/108/11-16.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%3/10
Over 2.5 goals53%10/11
Over 3.5 goals30%9/4
Both teams to score56%4/5
AFC Bournemouth or Draw74%4/11
Nottingham Forest or Draw52%10/11
AFC Bournemouth to win and Over 2.530%9/4
Nottingham Forest to win and Over 2.516%11/2
AFC Bournemouth clean sheet32%85/40
Nottingham Forest clean sheet20%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%
2-19.5%
1-09.4%
2-08.2%
0-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Carrick Under Heavy Fire After Manchester United Lose 3-0 To Bournemouth

Michael Carrick faces the sack after Manchester United fell to a 3-0 home defeat against Bournemouth at Old Trafford.

25 Oct 2026
Premier League

Iraola Faces Tricky Bournemouth Return as Liverpool Manager

Andoni Iraola prepares to face his former club Bournemouth as unbeaten Liverpool look to exploit extra rest days.

19 Sept 2026
Premier League

Manchester United Eye Bournemouth Defender Adrien Truffert

Manchester United are looking at Bournemouth's Adrien Truffert as a potential replacement for Luke Shaw, but he will cost £60 million.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect AFC Bournemouth to score 1.6 goals and Nottingham Forest 1.1.

Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of AFC Bournemouth last 20 games and 10 of Nottingham Forest last 20.

How are AFC Bournemouth playing?

AFC Bournemouth have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Nottingham Forest playing?

Nottingham Forest have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when AFC Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest last met?

It ended Nottingham Forest 1, AFC Bournemouth 1. In the last 2 meetings AFC Bournemouth won 1 and Nottingham Forest won 0.

What is the best bet for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/7, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bournemouth against Nottm Forest. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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