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Predictions › United Kingdom › AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction

Hornchurch Stadium

AHAFC HornchurchHome
1.82 : 1.46
expected goals
BlackpoolAway
46%Hornchurh
24%Draw
30%Blackpool
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool is AFC Hornchurch to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
AFC Hornchurch to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AFC Hornchurch 1.8, Blackpool 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

AFC Hornchurch to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 85/401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Hornchurch 46%, the draw 24% and Blackpool 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Blackpoolrecent form-3%
Hornchurh form D L W W LBlackpool form D L W L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool: AFC Hornchurch are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AFC Hornchurch host Blackpool in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Hornchurch Stadium. Our prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool is AFC Hornchurch to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

AFC Hornchurch form

AFC Hornchurch have no recent games in our records yet.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect AFC Hornchurch to score about 1.8 goals and Blackpool about 1.5. That points to AFC Hornchurch to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is AFC Hornchurch to win and Over 2.5 at 85/40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HornchurhBlackpool
Games playedn/a20
Winsn/a10
Drawsn/a2
Lossesn/a8
Goals scoredn/a28
Goals concededn/a27
Scored per gamen/a1.4
Conceded per gamen/a1.4
Home recordn/a6W 2D 3L
Away recordn/a4W 0D 5L
Clean sheetsn/a35%
Both teams scoredn/a50%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals42%7/5
Both teams to score65%8/15
AFC Hornchurch or Draw70%4/9
Blackpool or Draw54%5/6
AFC Hornchurch to win and Over 2.533%2/1
Blackpool to win and Over 2.522%7/2
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet23%10/3
Blackpool clean sheet16%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-19.1%
1-27.3%
2-26.7%
2-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Our prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool is AFC Hornchurch to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect AFC Hornchurch to score 1.8 goals and Blackpool 1.5.

Will both teams score in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hornchurh against Blackpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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