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Predictions › United Kingdom › AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
League OneSat 14 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool prediction

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC WimbledonHome
0.95 : 1.04
expected goals
BlackpoolAway
31%Wimbledon
33%Draw
36%Blackpool
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/6

Quick answer

Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool is Blackpool to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6.

Prediction
Blackpool to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
AFC Wimbledon 0.9, Blackpool 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/6
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1/62 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Wimbledon 31%, the draw 33% and Blackpool 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AFC Wimbledon took 1 point from their last 5 games and Blackpool took 4 from 5. Blackpool come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AFC Wimbledon won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Blackpool won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. Blackpool score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of AFC Wimbledon games and 10 of Blackpool games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 2 and Blackpool won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended AFC Wimbledon 4, Blackpool 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wimbledonrecent form-4%
Wimbledon form D L D L LBlackpool form D W L W LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: Blackpool shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AFC Wimbledon host Blackpool in the League One on Sat 14 Nov, 15:00 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool is Blackpool to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6.

AFC Wimbledon form

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Blackpool form

Blackpool have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AFC Wimbledon won 2, Blackpool won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished AFC Wimbledon 4, Blackpool 1.

Our call

We expect AFC Wimbledon to score about 0.9 goals and Blackpool about 1.0. That points to Blackpool to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WimbledonBlackpool
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws53
Losses118
Goals scored1228
Goals conceded3528
Scored per game0.61.4
Conceded per game1.81.4
Home record2W 4D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record2W 1D 7L4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored35%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals60%4/6
Over 2.5 goals32%85/40
Over 3.5 goals14%6/1
Both teams to score40%6/4
AFC Wimbledon or Draw64%4/7
Blackpool or Draw69%4/9
AFC Wimbledon to win and Over 2.513%13/2
Blackpool to win and Over 2.515%11/2
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet35%9/5
Blackpool clean sheet39%8/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.5%
1-114.3%
0-113.4%
1-012.2%
0-27.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?

Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool is Blackpool to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/6.

What is the score prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect AFC Wimbledon to score 0.9 goals and Blackpool 1.0.

Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of AFC Wimbledon last 20 games and 11 of Blackpool last 20.

How are AFC Wimbledon playing?

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Blackpool playing?

Blackpool have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool last met?

It ended AFC Wimbledon 4, Blackpool 1. In the last 2 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 2 and Blackpool won 0.

What is the best bet for AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/6, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wimbledon against Blackpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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