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Predictions › United Kingdom › AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town
League OneTue 20 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town prediction

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC WimbledonHome
0.94 : 0.90
expected goals
Mansfield TownAway
34%Wimbledon
34%Draw
32%Mansfield
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town is a draw, with a 34% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
34%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
AFC Wimbledon 0.9, Mansfield Town 0.9
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
37%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
17% chanceFair price 5/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Wimbledon 34%, the draw 34% and Mansfield Town 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AFC Wimbledon took 8 points from their last 5 games and Mansfield Town took 5 from 5. AFC Wimbledon come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AFC Wimbledon won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Mansfield Town won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Mansfield Town score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of AFC Wimbledon games and 12 of Mansfield Town games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 0 and Mansfield Town won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Mansfield Town 2, AFC Wimbledon 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mansfieldrecent form-3%
  • Wimbledonrest between games-5%
  • Mansfieldrest between games-5%
Wimbledon form D L D D WMansfield form D L D D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

AFC Wimbledon host Mansfield Town in the League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town is a draw, with a 34% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1/3.

AFC Wimbledon form

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Mansfield Town form

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AFC Wimbledon won 0, Mansfield Town won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mansfield Town 2, AFC Wimbledon 2.

Our call

We expect AFC Wimbledon to score about 0.9 goals and Mansfield Town about 0.9. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 5/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WimbledonMansfield
Games played2020
Wins48
Draws57
Losses115
Goals scored1132
Goals conceded3228
Scored per game0.61.6
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record2W 4D 4L5W 3D 1L
Away record2W 1D 7L3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored30%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals56%4/5
Over 2.5 goals28%13/5
Over 3.5 goals11%15/2
Both teams to score37%7/4
AFC Wimbledon or Draw68%4/9
Mansfield Town or Draw66%1/2
AFC Wimbledon to win and Over 2.513%7/1
Mansfield Town to win and Over 2.512%15/2
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet41%6/4
Mansfield Town clean sheet39%8/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-016.7%
1-114.2%
1-014.1%
0-113.5%
2-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town is a draw, with a 34% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect AFC Wimbledon to score 0.9 goals and Mansfield Town 0.9.

Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

Both teams to score has a 37% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of AFC Wimbledon last 20 games and 11 of Mansfield Town last 20.

How are AFC Wimbledon playing?

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Mansfield Town playing?

Mansfield Town have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when AFC Wimbledon and Mansfield Town last met?

It ended Mansfield Town 2, AFC Wimbledon 2. In the last 2 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 0 and Mansfield Town won 0.

What is the best bet for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?

Under 2.5 goals at 1/3, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wimbledon against Mansfield. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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