Predictions › United Kingdom › AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers
League OneSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers prediction

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC WimbledonHome
1.15 : 1.25
expected goals
Wycombe WanderersAway
33%Wimbledon
29%Draw
38%Wycombe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Wycombe Wanderers to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
AFC Wimbledon 1.1, Wycombe Wanderers 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Wimbledon 33%, the draw 29% and Wycombe Wanderers 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AFC Wimbledon took 8 points from their last 5 games and Wycombe Wanderers took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AFC Wimbledon won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Wycombe Wanderers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AFC Wimbledon score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. Wycombe Wanderers score 1.6 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of AFC Wimbledon games and 14 of Wycombe Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and Wycombe Wanderers won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Wycombe Wanderers 2, AFC Wimbledon 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Wycomberecent form+4%
Wimbledon form D L D D WWycombe form D W D W WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers: Wycombe Wanderers shade it

The big picture

AFC Wimbledon host Wycombe Wanderers in the League One on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

AFC Wimbledon form

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Wycombe Wanderers form

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AFC Wimbledon won 1, Wycombe Wanderers won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Wycombe Wanderers 2, AFC Wimbledon 0.

Our call

We expect AFC Wimbledon to score about 1.1 goals and Wycombe Wanderers about 1.3. That points to Wycombe Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WimbledonWycombe
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws55
Losses1110
Goals scored1132
Goals conceded3241
Scored per game0.61.6
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record2W 4D 4L2W 3D 6L
Away record2W 1D 7L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored30%70%
Over 2.5 goals40%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%4/9
Over 2.5 goals43%11/8
Over 3.5 goals22%7/2
Both teams to score50%Evens
AFC Wimbledon or Draw62%8/13
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw67%1/2
AFC Wimbledon to win and Over 2.517%9/2
Wycombe Wanderers to win and Over 2.520%4/1
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet29%5/2
Wycombe Wanderers clean sheet32%11/5

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
0-110.5%
0-09.8%
1-09.7%
1-28.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Our prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers is Wycombe Wanderers to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect AFC Wimbledon to score 1.1 goals and Wycombe Wanderers 1.3.

Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of AFC Wimbledon last 20 games and 14 of Wycombe Wanderers last 20.

How are AFC Wimbledon playing?

AFC Wimbledon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Wycombe Wanderers playing?

Wycombe Wanderers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when AFC Wimbledon and Wycombe Wanderers last met?

It ended Wycombe Wanderers 2, AFC Wimbledon 0. In the last 2 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 1 and Wycombe Wanderers won 1.

What is the best bet for AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wimbledon against Wycombe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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